2025 NFL Odds: Chiefs, Broncos Finest Wager To End Atop AFC West

As we check out the AFC West, it’s simple to see why many will make a case that that is the perfect and deepest division within the NFL. 

Final 12 months, this division produced three playoff groups that every one received double-digit video games. This consists of the 15-win Chiefs, who made the Tremendous Bowl (once more). 

Whereas the Chiefs have been the one workforce within the division that received a playoff recreation as soon as it obtained there, the 36 mixed wins final season between the Chiefs, Chargers, and Broncos shouldn’t be ignored. 

In 2015, Peyton Manning (and Brock Osweiler) led the Broncos to an AFC West crown, ultimately defeating the Carolina Panthers within the Tremendous Bowl. I point out this as a result of it’s the final time a workforce aside from the Chiefs received this division. 

Whereas it’s exhausting to imagine a workforce can rattle off 9 straight division titles, it is also exhausting to fathom that the 2015 Broncos run is already a decade in the past. 

The Chiefs’ 2025 schedule, although, will make successful a tenth straight AFC West a tall job.

Kansas Metropolis has an Over/Underneath win complete of 11.5 and +850 odds to win the Tremendous Bowl at DraftKings Sportsbook. The recognition of the Chiefs works in opposition to them in relation to the schedule, as they’re slated to play in not less than eight prime-time video games, together with on Thanksgiving in opposition to the Cowboys and on Christmas in opposition to the Broncos. 

They’ve a Tremendous Bowl rematch in September in opposition to the Eagles, in addition to video games in a while within the season in opposition to the Ravens, Lions, Payments, Commanders and Texans, along with their six powerful division video games. That’s a brutal schedule, particularly contemplating all of the brief weeks they’ve due to their prime-time night time video games. 

This places Kansas Metropolis at an obstacle when it comes to prep and relaxation time. 

All that being stated, there are higher methods to make cash than betting in opposition to a Corridor of Fame coach and quarterback in Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes. 

Extra on this later once I discuss my greatest guess.

As we take a look at the remainder of the division, the Broncos’ outlook is far brighter than it was this time final 12 months, after they have been seen as a five- or six-win workforce by the market. 

They soared previous these expectations and received 10 video games, regardless of an 0-2 begin. Now, they give the impression of being to be a strong playoff contender as soon as once more. Their O/U for wins is 9.5, and they’re +2800 to win all of it. I anticipate them to duplicate final 12 months’s success and return to the playoffs behind what could very properly be the league’s greatest protection.

The Chargers additionally come into the 12 months off of a double-digit win season and a playoff look, and are seen on the identical stage because the Broncos. 

After ending 11-6, their O/U for wins can also be 9.5, with +2800 odds to win their first ever Tremendous Bowl. 

Can head coach Jim Harbaugh lead his Chargers on a deep playoff run?

Whereas I attempt to keep away from betting in opposition to Chargers’ coach Jim Harbaugh, who appears to win massive in every single place he goes, the Chargers have been solely 2-6 final 12 months in video games in opposition to groups that made the postseason — together with a blowout playoff loss to the Texans. 

The Bolts thrived final 12 months on creating turnovers, whereas they feasted on a really favorable schedule. The schedule is more durable this 12 months, they usually now have the season-ending harm to star offensive lineman Rashawn Slater to cope with. It will make issues much more difficult in 2025. 

Nevertheless, I by no means underestimate Harbaugh, however there are some indicators they may take a step again.

One workforce that nearly definitely is not going to take a step again is the Las Vegas Raiders, who received 4 video games in 2024. They added a gradual beginning quarterback with the stunning commerce for Geno Smith and used the sixth decide within the draft on standout Boise State operating again Ashton Jeanty. 

Head coach Pete Carroll takes over a workforce with an O/U of 6.5 and 120-1 odds to win the Tremendous Bowl. 

Whereas the division is difficult, including Smith and Jeanty to star tight finish Brock Bowers goes to be enjoyable to look at, and I might solely take a look at Over 6.5 wins for a Raiders workforce that may flirt with the playoffs. That is if every thing breaks proper for them. 

All of this brings me to my greatest guess — Chiefs-Broncos (+340) Precise Division End 1-2.

It is a enjoyable market supplied at Draftkings and one which I believe affords nice worth. Whereas the Chiefs have a difficult schedule, till Mahomes and Reid don’t win the division, I’m selecting them to take action. Whereas I believe the Chiefs will win it once more, the Slater harm for the Chargers is sufficient for me to go for the Broncos as runner-up. Denver has notable expertise on each side of the ball. 

It is a enjoyable division. Each head coach in it at present could very properly be within the Corridor of Fame sooner or later. However search for it to finally be Chiefs-Broncos within the Nos. 1 and a couple of spots, respectively.

PICK: Chiefs-Broncos (+340) actual division end 1-2

Will Hill, a contributor on the Bear Bets Podcast, has been betting on sports activities for over a decade. He’s a betting analyst who has been a number on VSiN, in addition to the Goldboys Community.

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