Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst
On July 27, playing textual content message threads acquired a bombshell: Colorado head coach Deion Sanders would step down.
He would achieve this the next morning throughout his scheduled press convention the place he would give the general public an replace on his well being. Sharp teams hammered the Colorado win complete from 6.5 at -180ish — a hefty worth — right down to a consensus 5.5 video games.
However the data turned out to be incorrect.
Coach Prime introduced he had bladder most cancers that required surgical procedure and now he’s cancer-free. A constructive outcome contemplating the circumstances, and Sanders introduced he’d nonetheless be on the sidelines for his Buffaloes this season.
I wrote weeks in the past that I favored Colorado below 6.5 wins as one in every of my favourite win complete wagers of the 2025 season. Does that change now that Colorado is sitting at 5.5 wins? In the event you tailed me, must you purchase some Over 5.5 for a center at six wins?
The Buffs return solely six starters from their nine-win staff final season. They misplaced Shedeur Sanders, their quarterback. They misplaced their Heisman-winning receiver and cornerback, Travis Hunter. The Buffs additionally misplaced their high 4 huge receivers.
The CU protection improved greater than 50 spots in effectivity rankings however misplaced a variety of key items. It changed all these gamers with extra switch portal additions, however what number of instances can Colorado hit a house run with portal gamers?
It’s simply not a confirmed path to continued success on this sport.
Colorado will want these portal gamers to win. It would want manufacturing from a brand new quarterback, receivers, 4 offensive linemen, the complete linebacker corps and a number of secondary gamers for an opportunity to succeed this season.
It appears untenable for Deion & Co. to have the identical success this season that they’d in 2024. This can be a new offense that may’t be bailed out by Sanders or Hunter. It is stagnant. There’s no movement. There’s no variation in formations. The offense does not use a good finish and it does not run the soccer.
Is CU going to alter the offense now that Sanders is not the quarterback? I’m uncertain.
The protection improved drastically final season, however this 12 months, that unit will depend on its returning defensive-line depth, blended with all new linebackers.
The staff simply isn’t as proficient this season.
Colorado’s convention schedule in 2025 is far more durable than it was in 2024. The Buffaloes confronted six of the seven Massive 12 groups to complete below .500 in convention play final 12 months. They play 5 of the seven favorites to win the league, plus a visit to West Virginia later within the 12 months when it’s potential the Moutaineers have it along with Wealthy Rod. CU additionally hosts Georgia Tech in Week 1 and I do not consider it would win that recreation.
I feel Underneath 5.5 remains to be a play for those who missed out on the 6.5. I’m not going to attempt to center on six, and I’m high-quality with sitting on my Underneath 6.5.
PICK: Colorado Underneath 6.5 wins
Geoff Schwartz is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports activities. He performed eight seasons within the NFL for 5 completely different groups. He began at proper sort out for the College of Oregon for 3 seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 choice his senior 12 months. Comply with him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.
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