5 issues to observe for on NBA Draft lottery day

The NBA Draft lottery takes place on Monday, which is able to set the order for the highest 14 picks forward of the primary spherical on June 25.

The lottery is crammed with pleasure due to the unknown as bouncing lottery balls determine these groups’ draft positions. Whereas the groups with the three worst information from this previous season – the Charlotte Hornets, Utah Jazz, and Washington Wizards – have the best likelihood (14%) of getting the primary total decide, it does not at all times go as deliberate. In 2024, the Atlanta Hawks, who had a 3.7% probability of profitable the lottery, acquired fortunate, finally utilizing the highest choice on Zaccharie Risacher. 

This season, former Duke ahead Cooper Flagg is the indeniable crown jewel, so followers of every of the non-playoff groups, and of the NBA basically, can be clamoring to observe everything of Monday’s occasion and discover out the place he’ll find yourself. Listed here are 5 extra issues to observe for on NBA Draft lottery day:

2025 NBA Draft Lottery: Odds, the way it works, date, time

1. No ensures past Flagg

Rutgers guard Dylan Harper is the consensus No. 2 prospect within the 2025 NBA Draft class, however that does not imply he’ll be chosen second total. 

If the Wizards find yourself with the No. 2 decide for the second straight season, Harper matches their roster completely. The Wizards have a slew of scrappy younger gamers, together with Carlton “Bub” Carrington, Kyshawn George, and Alex Sarr, a rim protector they chose with the second-overall decide in 2024. Harper would offer them with a major ball-handler and an offensive hub. 

Harper would even be a great choice for the New Orleans Pelicans, who’ve a 12.5% likelihood on the high decide, permitting them to maneuver on from C.J. McCollum and rebuild round Harper, Zion Williamson and Trey Murphy. The Brooklyn Nets, who’ve a 9% probability of getting the primary decide, would additionally take Harper in the event that they jumped to No. 2, as they don’t have any actual constructing blocks as a result of they have not owned their first-round decide since 2021.

Alternatively, a crew just like the Utah Jazz, who even have a 14% likelihood on the high decide after ending the season with the league’s worst report, might cross on Harper as a result of they have already got a plethora of younger ball-dominant guards. As an alternative, they might choose Harper’s faculty teammate, Ace Bailey, a prolonged wing with a excessive offensive ceiling. 

The identical goes for the Philadelphia 76ers, who’re set at level guard with Tyrese Maxey and would like so as to add complementary items somewhat than a score-first guard; and the Hornets, who do not have a necessity for Harper in the event that they need to proceed constructing round guard LaMelo Ball. 

2. OKC once more?! Why Philly is sweating

Earlier than the beginning of the 2024-25 NBA season, the Philadelphia 76ers have been arguably in the identical tier as Jap Convention juggernauts such because the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers. Being within the lottery wasn’t of their radar. However, issues went awry. Celebrity Joel Embiid by no means returned to full well being, taking part in in simply 19 video games, whereas Paul George had an inconsistent marketing campaign after signing as a free agent in the summertime. The 76ers tried to patch issues collectively, counting on Maxey to maintain them afloat whereas they waited for Embiid to return to MVP kind. 

When that did not occur, the Sixers realized they needed to pull the plug on the season. That is as a result of the 76ers would solely retain their first-round choice if it fell inside the high six. If not, it will go to the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder, who, underneath basic supervisor Sam Presti, have constantly constructed up an arsenal of draft picks that embody their very own and their opponents’ via savvy trades. 

Wanting to manage their decide and maintain it from the Thunder, the 76ers opted to close down Embiid, after which, when Maxey re-injured a sprained finger on April 9, they took further precautions and sat him for the remainder of the season, too. With their high two gamers out, the 76ers completed the season 24-58, impressively tanking their strategy to the fifth-worst report. 

Now, the percentages are of their favor to maintain their decide and add a younger piece to assist them re-tool. However, there’s not a lot room for error. If simply two groups above them get fortunate and bounce the 76ers, they’ll lose the decide to the Thunder. 

That situation can be an abject catastrophe for Philadelphia as it will have wasted a season with Maxey and Embiid hobbled by accidents, solely to then lose its draft decide. For OKC, it will be a nice shock, because it ended the season because the No. 1 seed within the Western Convention and will nonetheless have excessive draft capital. Due to this fact, Thunder followers will watch the lottery able to snicker like evil villains ought to the lottery balls bounce of their favor.

3. May the Spurs truly get Flagg?

The easy reply is, sure. Something can occur throughout the lottery. San Antonio has a 6.0% probability of getting the highest decide, which is nearly double what Atlanta had final 12 months when it gained. 

In that situation, the Spurs might pair Flagg with a core of Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Fortress, and be on their strategy to having a 3rd straight Rookie of the 12 months on their roster, and be able to compete within the Western Convention. 

Watching the place the Spurs land on Monday can be a enjoyable storyline. However, it should even be essential to observe what they do within the weeks after the lottery, as they’re going to have two alternatives within the top-14 and will use that capital to enter the Giannis Antetokounmpo commerce discussions. 

4. Finest match for Flagg?

Let’s name Atlanta profitable final 12 months’s lottery a fluke and say that one of many favorites will win this 12 months’s version. So, out of the Jazz, Wizards, and Hornets, the place would we wish to see Flagg land probably the most? 

The Hornets are the perfect match for Flagg. A Duke product, he would not need to journey far. Then, there’s the basketball facet of issues. Flagg’s athleticism would make him an ideal lob accomplice for Lamelo Ball. Flagg’s protection would even be useful for a crew constructed round Ball, a minus defender. Flagg additionally would not be required to deal with the ball and provoke the offense, as Ball is without doubt one of the recreation’s greatest passers and Brandon Miller, the No. 2 decide in 2023, is a dynamic on-ball scorer. 

On the Jazz and Wizards, Flagg can be anticipated to shoulder the majority of accountability on each side of the ball. He is able to doing so, however the Hornets roster matches his skills, and his abilities are one thing the Hornets’ present core lacks. 

5. Issues worsen for the Suns (and higher for the Rockets).

PSA for Suns followers: Do not tune into Monday’s lottery except you need to torment your self and see the repercussions of Houston buying your decide as a part of the deal that introduced Kevin Durant from Brooklyn. Sadly for Phoenix, there’s not a lot to be enthusiastic about on Monday. Whereas Phoenix ended the season 36-46, on par with lottery groups, Houston has the rights to its 2025 first-round decide no matter the place it lands.

So, Rockets followers, you are in an analogous boat to the Thunder. You watched your crew exceed expectations, ending second within the Western Convention within the common season, and now you doubtlessly get one other younger participant. Not like the Thunder, although, the Rockets would retain this decide wherever it falls. So, sure, there’s a 3.8% probability it turns into the No. 1 total decide and Flagg goes to a crew that gained 52 video games this previous season. 

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