Russia fears one other loss in Center East from Iran's battle with Israel

[ad_1] Steve Rosenberg Russia Editor

Reporting fromSaint Petersburg <img sizes="(min-width: 1280px) 50vw, (min-width: 1008px) 66vw, 96vw" srcset="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/240/cpsprodpb/4105/live/eb70e070-4b9c-11f0-9c88-11bce79778c8.jpg.webp 240w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/4105/live/eb70e070-4b9c-11f0-9c88-11bce79778c8.jpg.webp 320w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/480/cpsprodpb/4105/live/eb70e070-4b9c-11f0-9c88-11bce79778c8.jpg.webp 480w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/640/cpsprodpb/4105/live/eb70e070-4b9c-11f0-9c88-11bce79778c8.jpg.webp 640w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/800/cpsprodpb/4105/live/eb70e070-4b9c-11f0-9c88-11bce79778c8.jpg.webp 800w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1024/cpsprodpb/4105/live/eb70e070-4b9c-11f0-9c88-11bce79778c8.jpg.webp 1024w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1536/cpsprodpb/4105/live/eb70e070-4b9c-11f0-9c88-11bce79778c8.jpg.webp 1536w" src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/480/cpsprodpb/4105/live/eb70e070-4b9c-11f0-9c88-11bce79778c8.jpg.webp" loading="eager" alt="Reuters Putin on the left shakes the hand of Ayatollah Khamenei. Both men are smiling. Putin is wearing a navy suit while Khamenei is wearing traditional Islamic clerical robes and a black turban, along with glasses." class="sc-d1200759-0 dvfjxj"/> Reuters Whereas Moscow has talked up its partnership with Iran, the deal doesn't require Russia to return to Iran's army support

When Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, officers in Russia described the present escalation within the Center East as "alarming" and "harmful."

Nonetheless, Russian media have been fast to emphasize the potential positives for Moscow.

Amongst them:

An increase in international oil costs which is forecast to spice up Russia's coffersThe distraction of world consideration away from Russia's conflict on Ukraine. "Kyiv has been forgotten" was a headline in Moskovsky KomsomoletsAnd if the Kremlin's supply to mediate within the battle was accepted, Russia might painting itself as a key participant within the Center East and as a peacemaker, regardless of its actions in Ukraine Nonetheless, the longer Israel's army operation goes on, the better the realisation that Russia has a lot to lose from present occasions.

"The escalation of the battle carries critical dangers and potential prices for Moscow," wrote Russian political scientist Andrei Kortunov in enterprise every day Kommersant on Monday.

"The very fact stays that Russia was unable to stop a mass strike by Israel on a rustic with which 5 months in the past [Russia] signed a complete strategic partnership.

"Clearly Moscow is just not ready to transcend political statements condemning Israel, it isn't prepared to supply Iran with army help."

The Russian-Iranian strategic partnership deal which Vladimir Putin and President Masoud Pezeshkian signed earlier this yr is just not a army alliance.

It doesn't oblige Moscow to return to Tehran's defence.

On the time, although, Moscow talked it up.

In an interview with the Ria Novosti information company, Overseas Minister Sergei Lavrov famous that the settlement paid "particular consideration to the strengthening of co-ordination within the pursuits of peace and safety on the regional and international ranges, and the will of Moscow and Tehran for nearer co-operation on safety and defence".

<img sizes="(min-width: 1280px) 50vw, (min-width: 1008px) 66vw, 96vw" srcset="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/240/cpsprodpb/5abc/live/da4d03a0-4ba6-11f0-a466-d54f65b60deb.jpg.webp 240w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/5abc/live/da4d03a0-4ba6-11f0-a466-d54f65b60deb.jpg.webp 320w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/480/cpsprodpb/5abc/live/da4d03a0-4ba6-11f0-a466-d54f65b60deb.jpg.webp 480w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/640/cpsprodpb/5abc/live/da4d03a0-4ba6-11f0-a466-d54f65b60deb.jpg.webp 640w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/800/cpsprodpb/5abc/live/da4d03a0-4ba6-11f0-a466-d54f65b60deb.jpg.webp 800w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1024/cpsprodpb/5abc/live/da4d03a0-4ba6-11f0-a466-d54f65b60deb.jpg.webp 1024w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1536/cpsprodpb/5abc/live/da4d03a0-4ba6-11f0-a466-d54f65b60deb.jpg.webp 1536w" src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/480/cpsprodpb/5abc/live/da4d03a0-4ba6-11f0-a466-d54f65b60deb.jpg.webp" loading="lazy" alt="Reuters An Iranian-made Shahed drone in flight in Ukraine" class="sc-d1200759-0 dvfjxj"/> Reuters Russia has relied closely on Iran's Shahed drones in its conflict in Ukraine, however now manufactures them domestically

Within the final six months Moscow has already misplaced one key ally within the Center East, Bashar al-Assad.

After the Syrian chief was deposed final December he was provided asylum in Russia. The prospect of regime change in Iran, the considered shedding one other strategic accomplice within the area, will probably be of main concern to Moscow.

Commenting on developments within the Center East on Tuesday, Moskovsky Komsomolets concluded: "In international politics proper now, large adjustments are going down in actual time which can have an effect on life in our nation, both instantly or not directly."

Vladimir Putin will probably be spending a lot of this week in St Petersburg the place the town is internet hosting its annual Worldwide Financial Discussion board.

The occasion was as soon as dubbed "Russia's Davos", however the label does not actually apply now.

Lately the chief executives of huge Western firms have stayed away – particularly since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Nonetheless, the organisers declare that this yr representatives from greater than 140 international locations and territories will attend.

Russian authorities will virtually actually use the occasion to attempt to reveal that makes an attempt to isolate Russia over the conflict in Ukraine have failed.

An financial discussion board it could be, however geopolitics is rarely distant.

We'll be watching intently for any feedback the Kremlin chief makes concerning the Center East and about Ukraine.

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