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Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford predictions: Can Crawford make historical past within the combat of the last decade?

greater by greater
September 12, 2025
Reading Time: 8 mins read
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Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford predictions: Can Crawford make historical past within the combat of the last decade?


It is being billed because the “largest combat of the last decade,” and this time it is not simply hype.

Saul “Canelo” Alvarez and Terence “Bud” Crawford, two of the perfect pound-for-pound boxers on this planet, are only one sleep away from their undisputed tremendous middleweight title blockbuster conflict on the 65,000-seater Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.

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Victory for Crawford would make him the first-ever three-division male undisputed champion of boxing’s four-belt period, and etch his title onto a really brief checklist of the best fighters within the historical past of the game.

It is one of the vital anticipated fights in recent times, so let’s not waste any extra time.

Betting odds courtesy of BetMGM.

Undisputed tremendous middleweight championship: Canelo Alvarez (-160) vs. Terence Crawford (+145)

Alvarez (63-2-2, 39 KOs) is on a six-fight win streak since his 2022 unanimous choice loss to Dmitry Bivol for the WBA gentle heavyweight title. The Mexican is 11-0 within the tremendous middleweight division and hasn’t been taken to the wire in any of the fights — it is honest to say Alvarez, 35, has discovered his weight class, though some would argue that lots of his finest attributes, akin to head motion, had been much better at middleweight.

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“Canelo” started his profession within the tremendous light-weight division on the age of 15 in 2005 and has slowly constructed as much as tremendous middleweight over a 20-year run. He is a good-sized 168-pounder, however his body is thick for the load class and he usually seems to be to be the smaller man, no less than in top, subsequent to different tremendous middleweights.

Crawford (41-0, 31 KOs) has gained world titles at light-weight, tremendous light-weight, welterweight, and most not too long ago at tremendous welterweight in opposition to Israil Madrimov in August 2024. It will likely be one other two-division leap for the person who’s simply over two weeks out from his thirty eighth birthday on Saturday.

The American hasn’t seemed undersized subsequent to Alvarez at faceoffs this week. He documented himself weighing 185 kilos in February, so he’ll nonetheless be coming down in weight for Saturday’s bout, regardless of being the fighter who’s shifting up 14 kilos.

Alvarez, whereas three years youthful, has boxed greater than double the rounds between the 2 — 520 to Crawford’s 245 — and noticeably carries extra put on and tear on his physique. Alvarez has seemed extra previous his prime in his previous six fights, going the gap each time, in comparison with Crawford, who is only one combat faraway from a career-best exhibiting in opposition to Errol Spence Jr. in July 2023.

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Alvarez’s type has modified in current fights. He’s reluctant to push the tempo these days, and his quantity has decreased, therefore his lack of current knockouts. In opposition to William Scull this previous Might, Alvarez was unable to decelerate Scull’s motion or pin him down for sustained durations. Crawford’s elite motion will undoubtedly be a serious a part of his sport plan.

Alvarez’s energy, nevertheless, continues to be a serious risk. He scored knockdowns in opposition to John Ryder, Jermell Charlo, Jaime Munguia and Edgar Berlanga in 4 consecutive title defenses, even whereas going the gap each time. Alvarez’s energy — and his opponents’ respect for it — forces them to combat cautiously, which is to Alvarez’s benefit. Bivol, then again, constantly backed Alvarez up, pushed the tempo and threw in combos, which Alvarez did not have a solution for.

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Crawford is in contrast to another current Alvarez opponent. He’s an elite-level fighter in his personal proper, and arguably the perfect Alvarez has confronted since Floyd Mayweather in 2013.

The important thing for Crawford is to start out quick and get right into a rhythm early. Alvarez is a notoriously gradual starter. If it is a long-range pure boxing match, it is very exhausting to choose in opposition to “Bud.” Alvarez might want to roll again the years and make this right into a conflict to beat the supreme expertise of Crawford.

Dimension issues. It is a steep job to count on Crawford to beat a 14-pound weight leap in a single combat. Although the scale hole might not look overly decisive at faceoffs, Alvarez is skilled on the weight class, whereas Crawford has by no means fought a person as heavy and as highly effective.

Even nonetheless, I edge Crawford to tug off the upset over “Canelo” and set up himself as probably the greatest fighters in boxing historical past.

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Decide: Crawford

Callum Walsh and Fernando Vargas Jr. face off throughout the Canelo vs. Crawford undercard press convention in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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(Chris Unger by way of Getty Photos)

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