Patrick Everson
FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst
Seeing Alabama in a high-profile recreation is as frequent because the solar rising within the east.
Seeing Vanderbilt, although? Not so frequent.
However that’s the place we’re within the school soccer Week 6 odds market, as No. 16 Vandy vs. No. 10 Alabama is among the many largest video games this week.
“For those who would’ve instructed me two years in the past that Vandy-Alabama can be thought of a extremely good, aggressive recreation, I’d have instructed you that you just have been loopy,” Caesar Sports activities head of soccer buying and selling Joey Feazel mentioned. “However that’s gonna be the sport that drives motion this week.”
Bookmakers and sharp bettors supply their insights on that matchup and extra, as we dive into school soccer Week 6 betting nuggets.
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How Dandy Is Vandy?
Vanderbilt is 5-0 straight up (SU) and nearly excellent towards the unfold (ATS) at 4-1. Most spectacular was the Commodores’ Week 3 win at South Carolina, a 31-7 blowout as 3-point underdogs.
And it bears noting that final season, Vandy was a 23-point house underdog to Alabama and posted a stunning 40-35 victory.
The Crimson Tide (3-1 SU and ATS) have been already dealt one upset this season, dropping 31-17 as two-touchdown favorites at Florida State in Week 1. However Alabama has since gained three in a row, together with a signature 24-21 victory at Georgia final week.
Alabama actually has the revenge issue, too, and is at house in a 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff. However Vanderbilt, although nonetheless a large underdog, is getting respect this week.
Caesars Sports activities opened Alabama as a 13.5-point favourite, and inside just some hours Sunday, the road tumbled to -10.5. It then briefly went to ‘Bama -10 on Monday, earlier than resettling in at -10.5.
“It reveals that basically sharper motion is favoring this Vanderbilt group as a stay ‘canine,” Feazel mentioned. “However the public is coming in on Alabama and the Over. There’s extra Bama cash, after an enormous win towards Georgia.”
School Soccer Rocks on FOX
FOX’s Large Midday Kickoff heads to the Large Home in Ann Arbor, the place No. 20 Michigan hosts Wisconsin. It’s an enormous level unfold at Caesars, and it’s getting greater.
The Wolverines (3-1 SU/2-2 ATS) opened as 15.5-point favorites vs. the Badgers (2-2 SU/1-3 ATS). That line rapidly superior to -16.5, and on Tuesday night time, Michigan reached -17.
“Early motion counsel bettors are on Bryce Underwood. It’s one-way motion on Michigan, and I don’t count on that to vary,” Feazel mentioned.
On Campus Sharp Aspect
Final week, school soccer betting professional Paul Stone was rightly on Notre Dame as a 4.5-point favourite at Arkansas. The Combating Irish rolled 56-13.
This week, Stone is that aforementioned Vanderbilt vs. Alabama conflict.
First off, Stone acknowledged that quarterback Diego Pavia is a beast within the underdog position. At New Mexico State, then final season and into this season at Vanderbilt, Pavia-led groups are an excellent 19-5-1 ATS when forged because the underdog.
And 15 of these spread-covers have been truly outright wins. As famous above, Pavia’s most notable upset got here final yr, when Vanderbilt shocked then-No. 1 Alabama 40-35 as a 23-point house underdog in Nashville.
Nevertheless, regardless of Pavia’s proficiency within the underdog position, Stone is completely satisfied to take Alabama -10.5. The truth is, he sees the Crimson Tide prevailing by two touchdowns or extra.
“Vanderbilt will get Alabama’s full focus and a focus this time round,” Stone mentioned. “Since Alabama misplaced its season opener at Florida State, first-year beginning quarterback Ty Simpson has been hitting on all cylinders. I feel Alabama brings its A-game Saturday and wins comfortably.”
Sunshine State Showdown
School soccer Week 6 odds additionally characteristic a key ACC battle, between unbeaten Miami (4-0 SU/3-1 ATS) and Florida State (3-1 SU and ATS).
Each groups have already got signature wins, with Miami topping Notre Dame, and Florida State’s aforementioned win over Alabama, each in Week 1. However the Seminoles are coming off a 45-38 upset loss in double extra time at Virginia, the place they have been 7-point favorites.
As of Wednesday night time, Caesars has Miami as a 4.5-point highway favourite, which is the place the road has been all week.
“This recreation will determine who’s actually going to steer the ACC,” Feazel mentioned. “To date, we’re seeing Miami cash are available. It’s a extremely good, aggressive recreation with two good quarterbacks.”
Miami’s Carson Beck is seen as the higher QB, although. He’s at the moment the +1000 fourth selection in Caesars’ Heisman Trophy odds. Florida State’s Thomas Castellanos is a distant +7500.
I Like Large Bets and I Can’t Lie
As of Wednesday night time, there’s not a lot to report in the best way of main wagers on school soccer Week 6 odds. However Caesars has taken a few mid-five-figure performs:
$56,086.95 — yeah, that’s an uncommon quantity — on Clemson -14 vs. North Carolina$50,000 on Colorado +13 (-115) vs. TCU
Clemson vs. North Carolina is a battle of disappointing groups.
The Tigers, a stylish preseason choose to win the School Soccer Playoff, are 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS. The Tar Heels, in Invoice Belichick’s first season, are 2-2 SU and ATS, however these two wins are over lightweights Charlotte and Richmond.
In Week 4 at Central Florida, the Tar Heels tumbled 34-9 as 7-point underdogs. And also you most likely recall that in Week 1, at house, Belichick’s squad bought smoked by TCU 48-14 as a 3.5-point underdog.
Each UNC and Clemson have been off in Week 5 and absolutely wanted the break to regroup. If the visiting Tigers handle to win by greater than 14, then the bettor earnings $50,988.14 (complete payout $107,075.09).
As for Colorado-TCU, if Coach Prime’s squad avoids getting blown out, then the bettor wins $43,478.26 (complete payout $93,478.26).
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He’s a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting house. He’s primarily based in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Observe him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.
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