Toplines
Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to threaten Europe as a part of a multi-pronged informational effort to discourage the West from responding to hostile Russian actions. Putin claimed on October 2 that Russia is carefully monitoring the “militarization” of Europe and explicitly said that Russia is “listening carefully” to Germany relating to remarks that the German navy ought to be the “strongest in Europe.”[1] Putin claimed that “nobody doubts” that Russia’s response to Europe’s “militarization” won’t be “lengthy in coming” and that Russia is evaluating whether or not Europe’s efforts are “simply speak” or if Russia should take “countermeasures” that “can be very convincing.” Putin absurdly claimed that Russia has “by no means initiated a navy confrontation” however urged that competing with Russia militarily would “finally finish badly for the provocateur.” Putin concurrently downplayed the menace that Russia poses to the North Atlantic Treaty Group (NATO), claiming that European warnings of Russian aggression are “nonsense” and efforts to “whip up hysteria” inside Europe. Putin known as on European states to “settle down” about Russia and as a substitute concentrate on home points. Putin is trying to dissuade European members of NATO from bolstering their very own defensive efforts and offering navy help for Ukraine, which each oppose Russia’s personal strategic targets, by posturing that Russia is barely a menace to Europe so long as Europe resists Putin’s targets.
Putin’s rhetoric follows the latest Russian and unidentified drone incursions into or inside European airspace; Russian aerial overflights in or close to European airspace and property in violation of worldwide security norms; and Russian hybrid and sabotage operations towards NATO navy services and logistics.[2] Russia additionally goals to sow discord and concern inside Europe by way of hybrid operations, together with inside Poland, Germany, and Lithuania.[3] Putin made these remarks throughout his annual speech on the Valdai Membership, a world dialogue discussion board the place Kremlin officers, Russian students, and overseas officers and students meet to debate worldwide points. The Valdai Membership has served as a great tool within the Kremlin’s decades-long efforts to affect Western coverage in Russia’s favor.[4] Putin doubtless aimed to make use of his Valdai Membership deal with because the venue for these remarks to make sure that his varied informational efforts, together with these concentrating on Europe, attain a broader viewers and cumulatively obtain his desired impact: persuade the West towards supporting Ukraine or defending itself from Russia.
Putin tried to discourage the US from promoting Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine by downplaying their effectiveness and not directly threatening the US. Putin warned the US towards promoting Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, calling the missiles “highly effective” and “threatening.”[5] Putin famous Ukraine can not function Tomahawk missiles with out the “direct participation of American navy personnel” and that Ukraine’s use would mark a “new stage of escalation.” Putin additionally downplayed the Tomahawk missiles as “not solely fashionable” and famous that the availability of those missiles to Ukraine “won’t change the steadiness of energy on the battlefield.”[6] ISW continues to evaluate that Ukraine has an operational requirement to strike necessary navy infrastructure protected in Russia’s rear.[7]
Putin is trying to magnify Russian advances in Ukraine to help the Kremlin’s false narrative {that a} Russian victory in Ukraine is inevitable. Putin claimed on October 2 that Russian forces have seized two-thirds of Kupyansk.[8] ISW assesses that Russian forces have seized solely 14 p.c of Kupyansk as of October 2, and that Putin is exaggerating Russian positive factors in Kupyansk. Russian Chief of the Normal Employees Military Normal Valery Gerasimov claimed on August 30 that Russian forces seized roughly 50 p.c of Kupyansk, which ISW additionally assessed was an exaggeration of Russian positive factors in Kupyansk.[9] The Kremlin has been trying to make use of massive quantities of quantitative knowledge to create the misunderstanding that Russian forces are quickly advancing on the battlefield.[10] Putin’s October 2 statements are a continuation of the continued Kremlin effort to hyperfocus on and exaggerate tactical Russian positive factors to falsely painting Russia as making fast advances on the battlefield and to offer Russia with an informational victory within the struggle.[11] Putin is making an attempt to persuade the US, Europe, and Ukraine that Russia will inevitably obtain its struggle objectives militarily, such that Ukraine ought to concede to Russian calls for and the West ought to due to this fact stop its help of Ukraine.
The Wall Road Journal (WSJ) reported that US President Donald Trump accredited intelligence sharing with Ukraine for long-range strikes towards reputable navy targets inside Russia. WSJ reported on October 1, citing unnamed US officers, that Trump just lately accredited US intelligence businesses and the Pentagon to share intelligence with Ukraine for long-range strikes towards vitality infrastructure inside Russia, and that the US is asking NATO allies to offer comparable intelligence help.[12] It’s presently unclear if this approval additionally extends to navy targets inside Russia. The US officers said that the US is contemplating offering Tomahawk missiles, Barracuda missiles, or different ground- and air-launched missiles with ranges of roughly 500 miles, cohering with prior reviews that the Trump administration was contemplating promoting Tomahawks to Ukraine.[13]
To mitigate home panic over Ukraine’s long-range strike marketing campaign towards Russian oil refineries, Russian officers tried to downplay the reported US choice to extend intelligence sharing with Ukraine. Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said on October 2 that US intelligence sharing with Ukraine is “not an innovation.”[14] Peskov additionally claimed that no weapon can be a “magic tablet” for Ukraine.[15] Russian State Duma Protection Committee Member Andrei Kolesnik additionally claimed that the US has already been offering Ukraine with intelligence for long-range strikes.[16] Russian officers are doubtless trying to keep away from inflaming panic inside Russian society, on condition that Ukraine’s strikes towards oil refineries have spurred latest gasoline shortages.[17]
Russian navy intelligence is probably going conducting hybrid operations in Poland, Germany, and Lithuania to sow concern and discord inside NATO states, following indications of a attainable future Russian false-flag operation inside Poland. Polish media, citing sources related to the Polish Inner Safety Company (ABW) and Polish Normal Prosecutor’s Workplace, reported on October 2 that the Russian Normal Employees’s Essential Intelligence Directorate (GRU) could have orchestrated deliberate drone strikes inside Poland, Germany, and Lithuania.[18] The ABW detained an alleged courier whom the GRU reportedly recruited on Telegram for transporting explosives in cans for meals merchandise, drone elements, and SIM playing cards between Lithuania, Poland, and Germany. Lithuanian authorities additionally found a cache of explosive-filled cans in a cemetery in Kaunas, and the GRU reportedly meant for actors to make use of the drones to drop the explosive-filled cans for the strikes. The ABW said that it’s nonetheless investigating the individuals and occasions. ISW beforehand assessed that Russia and Belarus could conduct particular forces sabotage operations towards vital infrastructure in Poland and launch extra drone incursions and blame Ukraine.[19]
Ukraine and Russia performed one other prisoner of struggle (POW) trade in accordance with agreements reached through the June 2 bilateral negotiations in Istanbul. The Ukrainian Coordination Headquarters for the Remedy of POWs and the Russian Ministry of Protection (MoD) reported on October 2 that Ukraine acquired 185 Ukrainian POWs and 20 Ukrainian civilians and that Russia acquired 185 POWs and 20 Russian civilians.[20]
Key Takeaways
- Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to threaten Europe as a part of a multi-pronged informational effort to discourage the West from responding to hostile Russian actions.
- Putin tried to discourage the US from promoting Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine by downplaying their effectiveness and not directly threatening the US.
- Putin is trying to magnify Russian advances in Ukraine to help the Kremlin’s false narrative {that a} Russian victory in Ukraine is inevitable.
- The Wall Road Journal (WSJ) reported that US President Donald Trump accredited intelligence sharing with Ukraine for long-range strikes towards reputable navy targets inside Russia.
- To mitigate home panic over Ukraine’s long-range strike marketing campaign towards Russian oil refineries, Russian officers tried to downplay the reported US choice to extend intelligence sharing with Ukraine.
- Russian navy intelligence is probably going conducting hybrid operations in Poland, Germany, and Lithuania to sow concern and discord inside NATO states, following indications of a attainable future Russian false-flag operation inside Poland.
- Ukraine and Russia performed one other prisoner of struggle (POW) trade in accordance with agreements reached through the June 2 bilateral negotiations in Istanbul.
- Ukrainian forces just lately superior close to Lyman and within the Dobropillya tactical space. Russian forces just lately superior close to Lyman, Siversk, Pokrovsk, and Novopavlivka, and in northern Kharkiv Oblast, japanese Zaporizhia Oblast, and western Zaporizhia Oblast.
We don’t report intimately on Russian struggle crimes as a result of these actions are well-covered in Western media and don’t straight have an effect on the navy operations we’re assessing and forecasting. We’ll proceed to judge and report on the consequences of those prison actions on the Ukrainian navy and the Ukrainian inhabitants and particularly on fight in Ukrainian city areas. We completely condemn Russian violations of the legal guidelines of armed battle and the Geneva Conventions and crimes towards humanity regardless that we don’t describe them in these reviews.
Ukrainian Operations in The Russian Federation
Nothing Important To Report.
Russian Supporting Effort: Northern Axis
Russian goal: Create defensible buffer zones in northern Ukraine alongside the worldwide border
Russian forces continued offensive operations in Kursk and northern Sumy oblasts on October 2 however didn’t make confirmed advances.
Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces superior south of Bezsalivka (northwest of Sumy Metropolis on the worldwide border).[21]
Russian forces attacked in Kursk and northern Sumy oblasts, together with north of Sumy Metropolis close to Andriivka, Varachyne, and Kindrativka and towards Khrapovshchyna and northeast of Sumy Metropolis close to Yunakivka on October 1 and a couple of.[22] Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked close to Andriivka, Yunakivka, and Sadky (northeast of Sumy Metropolis).[23]
Order of Battle: Parts of the Russian 810th Separate Naval Infantry Brigade (Black Sea Fleet [BSF]) are reportedly working close to Kindrativka.[24] Parts of the 382nd Separate Naval Infantry Battalion (810th Naval Infantry Brigade) reportedly unsuccessfully tried to advance by way of an open subject close to Andriivka.[25]
Russian Essential Effort: Japanese Ukraine
Russian Subordinate Essential Effort #1
Russian goal: Push Ukrainian forces again from the worldwide border with Belgorod Oblast and method to inside tube artillery vary of Kharkiv Metropolis.
Russian forces just lately superior in northern Kharkiv Oblast.
Assessed Russian advance: Geolocated footage revealed on October 2 signifies that Russian forces just lately superior west of the Vovchansk Oil Extraction Plant in northwestern Vovchansk (northeast of Kharkiv Metropolis).[26]
Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces superior on the left (south) financial institution of the Vovcha River in Vovchansk.[27]
Russian forces attacked northeast of Kharkiv Metropolis close to Vovchansk, Synelnykove, and Vovchanski Khutory on October 1 and a couple of.[28]
Ukrainian 2nd Nationwide Guard Corps Spokesperson Volodymyr Dehtyarev reported that Russian forces in northern Kharkiv Oblast usually solely recuperate the our bodies of Russian servicemembers killed in motion (KIA) if the deceased servicemember held a rank above captain or family members of deceased servicemembers pay the Russian navy command.[29] Dehtyarev reported that Russian small infantry teams are trying to grab positions close to the worldwide border between Hlyboke and Lukyantsi (each north of Kharkiv Metropolis), however are unsuccessful as a result of Ukrainian forces have prolonged the kill zone (an space instantly close to the frontline the place a mass of tactical strike and reconnaissance drones pose an elevated danger to any gear or personnel that enters the world). Ukrainian Northern Group of Forces Spokesperson Vadym Mysnyk reported that poorly skilled Russian soldiers proceed to conduct day by day assaults in northern Kharkiv Oblast.[30] Mysnyk reported that Russian forces’ duties are sometimes so simple as seizing a single constructing or industrial zone to achieve footholds or produce footage exaggerating Russian advances.
Russian forces continued offensive operations within the Velykyi Burluk path on October 2 however didn’t advance.
A Russian supply claimed that Russian forces attacked northeast of Velykyi Burluk close to Ambarne on October 2.[31]
Order of Battle: Parts of the Russian Piratov Moryaka (Pirates of the Sea) Assault Detachment (seventh Motorized Rifle Regiment, eleventh Military Corps [AC], Leningrad Army District [LMD]) are reportedly working close to Odradne (east of Velykyi Burluk).[32]
Russian Subordinate Essential Effort #2
Russian goal: Seize the rest of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into japanese Kharkiv Oblast and encircle northern Donetsk Oblast
Russian forces continued offensive operations within the Kupyansk path on October 2 however didn’t advance.
Russian forces attacked close to Kupyansk itself; north of Kupyansk close to Holubivka; and northeast of Kupyansk close to Novovasylivka, Bolohivka, and Kamyanka, and towards Kolodyazne on October 1 and a couple of.[33] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked close to Holubivka and Kindrashivka (northwest of Kupyansk).[34]
Ukrainian Northern Group of Forces Spokesperson Vadym Mysnyk said that Russian prisoners of struggle (POWs) captured in Kupyansk declare that the Russian navy command ordered Russian forces to kill all civilian males and use ladies, youngsters, and aged residents as “human shields.”[35] Mysnyk additionally said that Ukrainian forces noticed Russian forces sporting civilian clothes in Kupyansk in what doubtless quantities to perfidy, a struggle crime below the Geneva Conference to which Russia is a signatory. Ukrainian tenth Military Corps (AC) Spokesperson Tetyana Branytska said that Russian forces proceed to make use of small group infiltration techniques within the Kupyansk path.[36] Branytska added that Russian POWs reported that Russian forces don’t recuperate the our bodies of servicemembers killed in motion (KIA) or evacuate wounded servicemembers. Branytska reported that Russian forces suffered vital losses throughout latest infiltration try wherein Russian forces superior into Kupyansk by way of an underground gasoline pipeline on September 12.[37]
The commander of a Ukrainian drone crew working within the Kupyansk path reported that rain and fog are degrading radio waves and affecting drone efficiency however that climate modifications haven’t but considerably impacted Russian techniques.[38] The commander famous that Russian forces use mild autos as transport as a result of sandy terrain of the path. The commander reported that Ukrainian forces just lately repelled a uncommon, roughly reinforced-platoon-sized Russian mechanized assault involving three tanks and two MT-LB armored combating autos (AFVs). A Ukrainian drone unit working within the Kupyansk path revealed footage on October 2 exhibiting Ukrainian forces destroying two tanks, two MT-LBs, and one different unspecified armored automobile.[29] Kupyansk Raion Army Administration Head Andriy Kanashevych reported that Russian forces performed a first-person view (FPV) drone strike that killed two civilians in Kupyansk.[40]
Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian 68th Motorized Rifle Division (sixth Mixed Arms Military [CAA], Leningrad Army District [LMD]) are reportedly putting Ukrainian forces with Groza Leska fiber-optic FPV drones close to Kupyansk.[41]
Russian forces continued offensive operations within the Borova path on October 2 however didn’t make confirmed advances.
Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces superior close to Borivska Andriivka (northeast of Kupyansk).[42]
Russian forces attacked northeast of Borova close to Bohuslavka and southeast of Borova close to Olhivka and Hrekivka on October 1 and a couple of.[43]
Russian forces just lately superior within the Lyman path.
Assessed Ukrainian advances: Geolocated footage revealed on October 1 signifies that Ukrainian forces just lately superior in northeastern Yampil (southeast of Lyman).[44]
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated footage revealed on September 30 signifies that Russian forces just lately superior into northeastern Yampil and central Shandryholove (northwest of Lyman).[45]
Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces superior farther inside and close to Yampil than geolocated footage signifies.[46]
Russian forces attacked northwest of Lyman close to Shandryholove, Karpivka, Novoselivka, and Korovii Yar and towards Drobysheve; north of Lyman and towards Stavky and Novyi Myr; northeast of Lyman close to Kolodyazi and Myrne; east of Lyman close to Zarichne and Torske; and southeast of Lyman close to Yampil and within the Serebryanske forest space on October 1 and a couple of.[47]
A non-commissioned officer (NCO) of a Ukrainian brigade working within the Lyman path reported that Russian forces have decreased the tempo of offensive operations for the reason that summer season of 2025, however that Russian drone and aerial operations stay intense.[48] The NCO said that Russian forces are utilizing Shahed, Molniya, and Lancet strike drones to focus on Ukrainian positions and logistics within the Lyman path.
Ukrainian navy observer Kostyantyn Mashovets reported that parts of the Russian twentieth CAA, (Central Army District [CMD]) strengthened by parts of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division (1st Guards Tank Military [GTA], Moscow Army District [MMD]) are combating alongside the northern a part of the Lyman path and parts of the twenty fifth CAA (CMD, reportedly below the executive management of the MMD) are combating within the southern a part of the Lyman path.[49] Mashovets said that parts of the twentieth CAA are trying to succeed in the east (left) financial institution of the Siverskyi Donets River northwest of Lyman because the twenty fifth CAA makes an attempt to repair Ukrainian forces inside its space of duty (AoR) slightly than redeploy elsewhere, together with to the twentieth CAA’s AoR. Mashovets assessed that parts of the twentieth CAA will proceed to wrestle to succeed in the east financial institution of the Siverskyi Donets River, nonetheless. Mashovets said that Russian forces have concentrated about 80,000 to 90,000 personnel, 240 to 320 tanks, about 600 armored autos, 350 to 360 tube artillery programs, and as much as 220 a number of launch rocket programs (MLRS) within the Lyman path. Mashovets said that this variety of forces is roughly equal to the variety of Russian forces concentrated within the Pokrovsk path. Mashovets famous that each the twentieth and twenty fifth CAAs have fashioned battalions consisting primarily of Russian servicemembers that Russian authorities recruited in jail or coerced into navy service to keep away from jail.
Order of Battle: Mashovets said that specialised drone parts of the Russian tenth and sixteenth Spetsnaz brigades (Russian Normal Employees’s Essential Directorate [GRU]) and Rubikon Heart for Superior Unmanned Applied sciences proceed to function within the Lyman path.[50] Mashovets said that parts of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division (twentieth CAA, MMD) and 2nd Motorized Rifle Division are combating close to Karpivka, Serednie (northwest of Lyman), and Shandryholove.[51] Mashovets said that parts of the 488th Motorized Rifle Regiment (144th Motorized Rifle Division) and parts of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division are combating towards Stavky.[52] Mashovets said that parts of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division (twenty fifth CAA) are combating close to Zarichne and, together with parts of its 164th and 169th motorized rifle brigades and parts of its eleventh Tank Brigade, are combating towards Yampil.[53]
Russian Subordinate Essential Effort #3
Russian goal: Seize the whole lot of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas, and advance into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
Russian forces just lately superior within the Siversk path.
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated footage revealed on October 1 signifies that Russian forces just lately entered the Donetsk Metallurgical Plant north of Siversk.[54]
Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces superior close to Dronivka (northwest of Siversk).[55]
Russian forces attacked northwest of Siversk close to Dronivka; northeast of Siversk close to Hryhorivka; southeast of Siversk close to Ivano-Darivka and Vyimka; south of Siversk close to Pereizne; and southwest of Siversk close to Bondarne on October 1 and a couple of.[56]
Russian forces continued offensive operations within the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical space on October 2 however didn’t make confirmed advances.
Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces superior within the forested areas close to Volodymyrivka (southwest of Druzhkivka).[57]
Russian forces attacked northeast of Kostyantynivka close to Minkivka, Orikhovo-Vasylivka, and Chasiv Yar; east of Kostyantynivka close to Predtechyne and Oleksandro-Shultyne; southeast of Kostyantynivka close to Toretsk, Shcherbynivka, Ivanopillya, and Pleshchiivka; south of Druzhkivka close to Rusyn Yar; and southwest of Druzhkivka close to Volodymyrivka and Poltavka on October 1 and a couple of.[58]
Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian fortieth Naval Infantry Brigade (Pacific Fleet) are putting Ukrainian positions north of Rusyn Yar.[59] Drone operators of the 54th Motorized Rifle Regiment (sixth Motorized Rifle Division, third Military Corps [AC], reportedly below operational management of the Southern Grouping of Forces) are working close to Shcherbynivka.[60] Parts of the 98th Airborne (VDV) Division reportedly proceed to function close to Chasiv Yar.[61] Drone operators of the 57th Spetsnaz Firm (eighth Mixed Arms Military [CAA], Southern Army District [SMD]) are reportedly coordinating with parts of an unspecified artillery anti-aircraft battalion of the third Spetsnaz Brigade (Russian Normal Employees’s Essential Directorate [GRU]) to strike Ukrainian positions close to Volodymyrivka.[62] Drone operators of the 102nd Motorized Rifle Regiment (a hundred and fiftieth Motorized Rifle Division, eighth CAA, SMD) and parts of the 238th Artillery Brigade (eighth CAA, SMD) are working close to Novopavlivka (southwest of Druzhkivka).[63] Drone operators of the Gorynych Anti-Terrorist Unit (Federal Safety Service [FSB], Presidential Regiment) are reportedly working within the Kostyantynivka path.[64] Drone operators of the twenty seventh Artillery Regiment (sixth Motorized Rifle Division) are reportedly putting Ukrainian autos within the Kostyantynivka tactical space.[65]
Ukrainian forces just lately superior within the Dobropillya tactical space.
Assessed Ukrainian advances: Geolocated footage revealed on October 2 signifies that Ukrainian forces just lately liberated Dorozhnie (southeast of Dobropillya).[66]
Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces seized Pankivka (east of Dobropillya).[67]
Geolocated footage revealed on October 2 signifies that Russian forces just lately performed an infiltration try alongside a windbreak north of Zolotyi Kolodyaz (northeast of Dobropillya).[68] ISW assesses that this occasion was not tied to an try and advance the ahead fringe of the battle space (FEBA).
Russian forces attacked northeast of Dobropillya close to Hruzke, east of Dobropillya close to Shakhove and Nove Shakhove, and southeast of Dobropillya close to Ivanivka and Bilytske on October 1 and a couple of.[69] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked close to Shakhove.[70]
Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Normal Oleksandr Syrskyi reported on October 1 that Ukrainian forces established management over 2.2 sq. kilometers within the Dobropillya tactical space and performed “shock and search” operations to clear three sq. kilometers of Russian forces.[71] Syrskyi reported that Ukrainian forces superior 100 to 1,400 meters in unspecified areas of the Dobropillya tactical space. Syrskyi said that Ukrainian forces have, in complete, liberated 177.8 sq. kilometers and cleared 198.9 sq. kilometers of the Dobropillya tactical space.
Order of Battle: Parts of the Russian third Spetsnaz Brigade (GRU) are reportedly working within the Dobropillya tactical space.[72]
Russian forces just lately superior within the Pokrovsk path.
Assessed Russian advance: Geolocated footage revealed on October 1 signifies that Russian forces just lately superior east of Balahan (east of Pokrovsk).[73]
Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces superior close to Kotlyne and Udachne (each southwest of Pokrovsk).[74]
Russian forces attacked close to Pokrovsk itself; north of Pokrovsk close to Rodynske; northeast of Pokrovsk close to Krasnyi Lyman, Novoekonomichne, and Sukhetske; east of Pokrovsk close to Myrolyubivka, Novotoretske, and Promin; southeast of Pokrovsk close to Novopavlivka and Lysivka; south of Pokrovsk close to Novoukrainka; and southwest of Pokrovsk close to Kotlyne, Udachne, Molodetske, and Zvirove on October 1 and a couple of.[75]
An officer of a Ukrainian brigade working within the Pokrovsk path reported that Russian forces proceed to benefit from heat climate and foliage with small infantry group infiltration techniques.[76] The officer reported that poor fall climate situations will hinder Russian assaults as they degrade the efficiency of each reconnaissance and strike drones, together with fiber optic first-person view (FPV) drones, that concentrate on Ukrainian logistics.
Russian forces just lately superior within the Novopavlivka path.
Assessed Russian advance: Geolocated footage revealed on October 2 signifies that Russian forces just lately superior into central Zelenyi Hai (southwest of Novopavlivka).[77]
Russian forces attacked northeast of Novopavlivka close to Novomykolaivka and Biliakivka; southeast of Novopavlivka close to Horikhove; south of Novopavlivka close to Filiya; and southwest of Novopavlivka close to Novokhatske, Tovste, and Zelenyi Hai on October 1 and a couple of.[78]
Russian forces continued offensive operations within the Velykomykhailivka path on October 2 however didn’t make confirmed advances.
Russian forces attacked northeast of Velykomykhailivka close to Andriivka-Klevtsove and Piddubne; east of Velykomykhailivka close to Sichneve and Voskresenka; southeast of Velykomykhailivka close to Komyshuvakha, Sosnivka, Vorone, and Berezove; south of Velykomykhailivka close to Kalynivske; and southwest of Velykomykhailivka towards Oleksiivka on October 1 and a couple of.[79]
Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian 14th Spetsnaz Brigade (GRU) are reportedly putting Ukrainian forces close to Velykomykhailivka and Pidhavrylivka (northeast of Velykomykhailivka).[80]
Russian Supporting Effort: Southern Axis
Russian goal: Keep frontline positions, safe rear areas towards Ukrainian strikes, and advance inside tube artillery vary of Zaporizhzhia Metropolis
Russian forces just lately superior in japanese Zaporizhia Oblast.
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated footage revealed on October 1 signifies that Russian forces just lately superior west of Novoivanivka (northeast of Hulyaipole).[81] Geolocated footage revealed on October 1 signifies that Russian forces superior in central and western Novoivanivka, doubtless on a previous date.[82]
Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces superior southwest of Novoivanvivka.[83]
Russian forces attacked northeast of Hulyaipole close to Novohryhorivka, Olhivske, and Poltavka and towards Novovasylivske on October 1 and a couple of.[84]
Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian 14th Spetsnaz Brigade (Russian Normal Employees’s Essential Directorate [GRU]) are reportedly putting Ukrainian targets close to Nove (northeast of Hulyaipole).[85] Drone operators of the Russian 143rd Motorized Rifle Regiment (127th Motorized Rifle Division, fifth Mixed Arms Military [CAA], Japanese Army District [EMD]) are reportedly putting Ukrainian autos close to Novoivanivka.[86]
Russian forces just lately superior in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated footage revealed on October 1 signifies that Russian forces just lately superior in southeastern Stepnohirsk (west of Orikhiv).[87]
Russian forces attacked south of Orikhiv close to Novodanylivka, southwest of Orikhiv close to Lobkove and Pyatykhatky, and west of Orikhiv close to Plavni and Stepnohirsk on October 1 and a couple of.[88]
Support Greater and Subscribe to view content
This is premium stuff. Subscribe to read the entire article.
