2025 Faculty Soccer Week 6 Odds: Chris ‘The Bear’ Fallica’s Skilled Picks, Finest Bets

“Bear Bets” are actual wagers that Chris “The Bear” Fallica is definitely making.

We did some profitable final week. You are not purported to ever get too excessive on your self, however seeing just a few undergo the ring feels good.

Let us take a look at what we have got cooking for school soccer Week 6.

Final Week: 7-2Season: 17-10-1

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Michigan State @ Nebraska

This might go very badly for a Michigan State protection that allowed 390 by way of the air and 40 factors to Boston Faculty, and 523 yards and 45 factors to USC. We haven’t seen Nebraska since shedding by a subject objective at dwelling to Michigan in a recreation the place the Cornhuskers allowed 105 passing yards. Final time I checked, I don’t see somewhat quantity subsequent to Michigan State indicating they’re ranked, which probably means Dylan Raiola and the Huskers roll right here.

PICK: Nebraska (-11.5) to win by greater than 11.5 factors

No. 16 Vanderbilt @ No. 10 Alabama 

The subsequent individual I hear say the phrases, “I like Alabama this week,” would be the first. I get it. Bama is coming off a giant win at Georgia and Kalen DeBoer hasn’t been nice as a giant favourite. However this feels prefer it’s been one-way site visitors on the ‘canine, and we’re getting the higher crew with some main revenge on a budget. Vanderbilt is 5-0 and Clark Lea has accomplished an entire 180 when it comes to tradition and profitable. I simply dunno, although. You run by way of the slate. You’ve acquired an FCS crew. There’s VT, which fired its coach. South Carolina with out LaNorris Sellers, Georgia State and Utah State. I could possibly be studying this utterly improper, however I’d even be keen on taking some plus cash on the Tide at some adjusted numbers. 

PICK: Alabama (-10.5) to win by greater than 10.5 factors

Iowa State @ Cincinnati

I acquired a terrific CLV award final week with Arizona at Iowa State, and naturally, we all know how that one went. Clones head to Nippert this week and tackle a sneaky good Bearcat crew coming off a street win at Kansas. UC’s lone blemish is by a subject objective in what was basically a street recreation in opposition to Nebraska in Kansas Metropolis. UC QB Brandon Sorsby has been actually good this 12 months, and he ought to have TE Joe Royer again as a goal. Extra importantly, DL Dontay Corleone might be again to assist the UC protection in opposition to an Iowa State offense that acquired some assist final week from Arizona turnovers, but did not crack the 400-yard mark. I’m certain lots of people will discover we now have the unranked crew at dwelling favored over the ranked crew. And that was the case final week in one other Massive 12 recreation when Arizona State beat TCU in Tempe. 

PICK: Cincinnati (-1.5) to win by greater than 1.5 factors

No. 22 Illinois @ Purdue

It is a dangerous spot for the Illini, coming off a house upset win over USC and with the No. 1 crew within the nation visiting Champaign subsequent week. Purdue has clearly improved in Barry Odom’s first season, regardless of giving up 56 final recreation to Notre Dame, with a ton of that injury accomplished on the bottom. Individuals will instantly discover USC beat Purdue 33-17 in a recreation by which Purdue was -3 in turnovers and had three empty red-zone journeys. In fact, Illinois beat USC final week and that transitive property could be counted on by some. Final 12 months, Illinois wanted a miracle to beat a Purdue crew 50-49 in OT — a crew that went winless within the Massive Ten. I will seize the factors right here. 

PICK: Purdue (+9.5) to lose by fewer than 9.5 factors or win outright

Mississippi State @ No. 6 Texas A&M

Final week’s closing rating in opposition to Auburn was not indicative of the domination the Aggies laid on the Tigers. Complete yards had been 414 to 177. Auburn didn’t convert a single third down. Solely A&M’s personal third-down struggles, 13 penalties and a turnover deep in Auburn territory stored this shut. The Bulldogs are clearly improved from final 12 months’s 2-10 season, nevertheless it does fear me they gave up 335 by way of the air final week to Tennessee. Marcel Reed and former MSU WR Mario Craver may eat in a giant manner Saturday night time. 

PICK: Texas A&M (-14.5) to win by greater than 14.5 factors

UNDERDOGS TO PLAY ON MONEYLINE

Final Week: 2-5, -.85Season: 10-15, +7.7 

Wake Forest +220Purdue +285

BEAR BYTES

Ranked groups on the street vs. unranked opponents

Final weekend, two misplaced outright, two received in additional time and two wanted late scores to win in regulation. This week there are six such video games: No. 7 Penn State at UCLA, No. 9 Texas at Florida, No. 11 Texas Tech at Houston, No. 14 Iowa State at Cincinnati (Cincinnati is favored), No. 22 Illinois at Purdue and No. 24 Virginia at Louisville (Louisville is favored). Along with the 2 ranked matchups, there are 13 ranked groups taking up unranked groups. In these video games, 11 of the 13 are favored. These 11 favorites are favored by a median of 19.5 factors and simply two are favored by single digits. 

No. 3 Miami @ No. 18 Florida State 

Within the final 14 conferences, there have been simply three upsets. Within the earlier 9, eight instances the underdog received outright. Every of the final 4 and 11 of the final 14 conferences have gone Below the entire. That is the eleventh time FSU has been a house underdog beneath Mike Norvell. The Noles have received three of the earlier 10 outright, together with two over top-10 opponents — No. 8 Alabama to start out this season as a 13.5-point ‘canine and over No. 5 North Carolina in 2020 as a 13.5-point ’canine. Final 12 months, on the street in opposition to ranked groups, Carson Beck accomplished 57.4% of his passes with three touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and he was sacked eight instances. He threw for beneath 190 yards in two of the three video games. These video games had been in opposition to Texas, Ole Miss and Alabama, which completed the season third, fourth and ninth nationally in opponents’ yards per recreation. Florida State allowed 5.2 YPP and over 210 yards each dashing and passing final week in a loss at Virginia. Three groups haven’t trailed in a recreation this season — Miami, Texas Tech and Maryland. 

No. 16 Vanderbilt @ No. 10 Alabama 

For the reason that begin of final 12 months, Vanderbilt is 9-2 in opposition to the unfold as a ‘canine, with 5 outright wins. Included in that was a win over then No. 1 Alabama as a 23.5-point ’canine and a 3-point loss to No. 5 Texas as a 17-point ‘canine. Kalen Deboer, as Energy 4 head coach, is 23-5 straight up as a double-digit favourite (9-4 at Alabama). As an underdog, he’s 7-1 straight up and in opposition to the unfold. For the reason that begin of final season, 36 instances a Energy 4 double-digit favourite has misplaced outright. In 4 of these 36 cases, it has been Alabama which was overwhelmed. The Tide are the one Energy 4 crew that has misplaced greater than twice in that function in that span. Alabama is the one Energy 4 crew within the nation with no turnover this season. 

Air Power @ Navy

Within the final 26 video games between service academies, underdogs are 20-6 in opposition to the unfold with 13 outright wins. Nevertheless, within the final 20 years, there have been simply 19 video games with a double-digit unfold. There was only one upset and that was Military profitable at Air Power in 2023 as a 19-point underdog. 

Michigan State @ Nebraska 

Relationship again to 2007, Nebraska is 6-18 in opposition to the unfold at dwelling as a double-digit favourite in opposition to Energy 5 groups (0-1 beneath Matt Rhule; a 17-9 win over Northwestern as an 11-point favourite). 

Iowa State @ Cincinnati

Relationship again to 2021, there have been 10 cases of an unranked crew being favored at dwelling over a top-15 crew. These 10 groups received seven of the ten video games outright. Since 2015, there have been 9 earlier cases of an unranked crew favored at dwelling over an undefeated top-15 crew. These 9 groups received seven outright. One of many losses got here final 12 months, when UCF was a 2-point favourite over 7-0 BYU and misplaced by 13. Within the final 12 video games by which Iowa State has been concerned in a recreation with an expansion between -4 and +4, the Cyclones have received 9 of them. This snapped a run the place Iowa State misplaced eight straight and 11 of 12 such video games. Iowa State has been penalized for simply 20.0 YPG. Solely Military has been flagged for fewer yards per recreation. 

Kentucky @ No. 12 Georgia

Within the final six years in opposition to Georgia, Kentucky has been an underdog of no less than 17 factors 5 instances and no less than a 20-point canine 4 instances. Kentucky coated all 5 video games. 

Wisconsin @ No. 20 Michigan 

That is the second time in three video games that Wisconsin is an underdog of no less than 17 factors. From 1993 to 2024, a span of 408 video games, the Badgers had been a 17-point ‘canine twice. 

Clemson @ North Carolina

Clemson has misplaced 4 straight and 5 of its final six video games in opposition to Energy 4 groups. The win came visiting SMU, which was in its first 12 months within the ACC after being within the AAC. 

Of the 68 Energy 4 groups, North Carolina is 68th in yards per play (4.9)

Washington @ Maryland

Washington went 0-7, each straight up and in opposition to the unfold away from dwelling final 12 months (0-5 in true street video games).

No. 7 Penn State @ UCLA

UCLA is the one crew within the nation to not lead at any level in a recreation this season.

Chris “The Bear” Fallica has coated sports activities for almost three many years. Whereas school soccer has been his focus, he additionally enjoys the NFL, Soccer, Golf, Tennis, MLB, NHL and Horse Racing, with an “occasional” wager on such occasions. Chris lately received the inaugural Circa Soccer Invitational and completed within the High 10 of the Golden Nugget Soccer Contest. He is a multiple-time qualifier for the NHC Handicapping Championship. Keep in mind, “The much less you wager, the extra you lose if you win!” Observe him on Twitter @chrisfallica.

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