Sherrill beats Ciattarelli in historic New Jersey gubernatorial win

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Democrat Mikie Sherrill defeated Republican Jack Ciattarelli within the New Jersey gubernatorial race, powered by robust help from Black voters, ladies, and youthful voters. Her victory secures Democrats a 3rd straight time period within the governor’s workplace — the primary time that’s occurred since 1961 — reflecting the state’s enduring blue tilt regardless of latest Republican positive factors.

Preliminary knowledge from the Fox Information Voter Ballot, a survey of greater than 4,400 registered New Jersey voters, confirmed Sherrill carried out effectively with Black voters, voters below age 30, ladies, and faculty diploma holders.

There was additionally a 20-point gender hole: about 6 in 10 ladies backed Sherrill whereas about 5 in 10 males favored Ciattarelli. Sherrill’s domination amongst ladies continued throughout all age teams, together with her highest degree of help coming from ladies below 30.

New Jersey feminine voters overwhelmingly favored Mikie Sherrill over her GOP opponent Jack Ciattarelli. (Fox Information)

Whereas Republicans have made positive factors amongst younger males in latest elections, youthful males in New Jersey sided with the Democrat this time.

Male voters in New Jersey have been largely cut up 50-50 between Democratic candidate Mikie Sherrill and GOP candidate Jack Ciattarelli. (Fox Information)

The gender divide additionally prolonged to oldsters: mothers broke for Sherrill practically 2 to 1 whereas dads most popular Ciattarelli by somewhat over 10 factors.

Sherrill’s multiracial coalition proved essential to her win: she acquired help from over 9 in 10 Black voters and nearly 7 in 10 Hispanic voters.

Hispanic voters – who've been a spotlight of Republican courtship in recent times – didn't help Republicans as a lot as they hoped. In the end, they sided with the Democrats by over 30 factors. White voters total broke for Ciattarelli, largely fueled by a 20-point hole in his help amongst White males. White ladies carefully divided their vote between Sherrill and Ciattarelli, with marginally extra favoring the Democrat.

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Nearly all of voters with a university diploma backed Sherrill, whereas voters with no diploma barely favored Ciattarelli. Ciattarelli carried the Republican stronghold of White males with no faculty diploma by over 40 factors.

Consultant Mikie Sherrill, Democratic gubernatorial candidate for New Jersey, throughout an election evening occasion in East Brunswick, New Jersey, US, on Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2025. (Michael Nagle/Bloomberg by way of Getty Photographs)

Each candidates benefitted from the help of over 9 in 10 voters amongst their respective events. Among the many essential swing group of independents, Sherrill was favored by simply over half. Further help from 6 in 10 self-described moderates supplied her with the increase wanted to win statewide.

About half of New Jersey Republicans identified as MAGA , and so they practically all threw their help behind Ciattarelli.

For 1 in 10 voters, this was the primary time they voted in a gubernatorial election, and so they backed Sherrill by 2 to 1.

Regardless of Sherrill’s Navy background, over half of navy households voted for Ciattarelli. Amongst union households, Sherrill narrowly held on to Democratic help, taking simply over half.

DEMOCRAT MIKIE SHERRILL WINS NEW JERSEY GOVERNOR RACE, KEEPS STATE BLUE AGAINST REPUBLICAN CHALLENGE

By a 2 to 1 margin, extra voters have a damaging view of how issues are going within the nation at the moment than a constructive view. These voters strongly broke for Ciattarelli.

Even with Trump off the poll, his presence nonetheless performed a defining position in the election . About 7 in 10 Sherrill supporters mentioned their vote was to ship a message of opposition to President Trump, whereas a few quarter of Ciattarelli voters mentioned their vote was in help of the president.

The highest cause New Jerseyans gave for backing Mikie Sherrill was opposition to Trump. (Fox Information)

Trump’s approval rating among Garden State voters is underwater, with over half saying they disapprove.

Among the many nationwide events, views of the Democratic Social gathering are cut up down the center, whereas views of the Republican Social gathering lean unfavorable.

Problems with affordability clearly dominated voter considerations, with taxes coming in at the top , carefully adopted by the financial system. Voters prioritizing taxes broke for Ciattarelli by over 20 proportion factors, whereas voters who prioritized the financial system favored Sherrill by a barely wider margin. For voters who noticed healthcare as a prime problem, Sherrill acquired the majority of help.

Almost a 3rd of New Jersey voters mentioned the financial system was an essential problem for the state. (Fox Information)

Almost all voters mentioned property taxes have been a minimum of a minor drawback the place they reside, and seven in 10 referred to as it a serious drawback.

Greater than two-thirds of New Jersey voters mentioned property taxes have been a "main drawback." (Fox Information)

Rising electrical energy prices additionally loomed giant within the race, with practically 9 in 10 voters indicating it was an issue. Voters who mentioned each property taxes and electrical energy prices have been a serious drawback have been extra apt to help Ciattarelli, whereas those that solely categorized it as a minor drawback supported Sherrill.

Preventing in opposition to these rising prices, voters understandably had a extra pessimistic outlook on the state’s financial system than optimistic. About 6 in 10 who've a damaging view voted for Ciattarelli, and three out of 4 with a constructive outlook backed Sherrill.

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Towards this financial backdrop, 1 in 4 New Jersey voters mentioned they're falling behind financially. The most important quantity, 6 in 10, mentioned they're holding regular, and solely a small fraction report they’re getting forward. For the quarter of voters falling behind, Sherrill acquired majority help, whereas voters who're holding regular cut up their help about evenly between the candidates.

Voters are cut up on whether or not the following governor ought to cooperate with the Trump administration on immigration enforcement. However in response to the administration’s present actions, over half of voters assume it’s gone too far, whereas about 3 in 10 say it’s about proper.

Voters within the Backyard State mentioned bringing wanted change, sharing their values, and dealing for individuals like them have been a few of the most essential candidate qualities in deciding their vote. Change-motivated voters went for Ciattarelli, whereas those that prioritized worth sharing and dealing for individuals like them favored Sherrill 2 to 1.

New Jerseyans mentioned their largest motivator within the gubernatorial election was bringing change. (Fox Information)

The accusations about Sherrill’s Naval Academy commencement did not dissuade voters from supporting her , as voters who prioritized honesty favored Sherrill by greater than 40 factors. Extra voters thought she ran a largely truthful marketing campaign than thought Ciattarelli’s marketing campaign was largely truthful. Sherrill additionally benefitted from a net-positive favorability score, with over half of Backyard State voters score her favorably. The influence of a damaging marketing campaign cycle may have damage Ciattarelli — about half of voters felt he ran a largely unfair marketing campaign and have an unfavorable view of the Republican.

Greater than half of New Jerseyans regarded Mikie Sherrill's marketing campaign as truthful. (Fox Information)

Amid this heated race for governor, political corruption was on the thoughts of many New Jersey voters, with 9 in 10 figuring out it as a minimum of a minor drawback. Those that noticed it as a serious drawback have been extra prone to aspect with Ciattarelli, whereas those that noticed it as solely a minor drawback favored Sherrill.

Solely round half of New Jersey voters thought Jack Ciattarelli's marketing campaign in opposition to Mikie Sherill was truthful. (Fox Information)

By a 2 to 1 margin, extra Sherrill voters mentioned their vote was in help of their candidate than in opposition to their opponent. Ciattarelli voters have been much more enthusiastic, with 8 in 10 voting in help of the Republican.

Among the many late-deciding voters, Sherrill was favored by nearly 7 in 10.

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Time period-limited Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy ’s job score is underwater as he prepares to go away workplace. After over a decade of Democratic management, roughly 1 in 5 Democrats disapprove of the job he’s performed as governor. Independents have combined emotions, with about equal numbers approving as disapproving, and practically all Republicans disapprove.

METHODOLOGY

The Fox Information Voter Ballot relies on a survey carried out by SSRS with New Jersey registered voters. This survey was carried out October 22 to November 4, 2025, concluding on the finish of voting on Election Day. The ballot combines knowledge collected from registered voters on-line and by phone with knowledge collected in-person from Election Day voters at 30 precincts per state. Within the last step, all of the pre-election survey respondents and Election Day exit ballot respondents are mixed by adjusting the share of voting mode (absentee, early-in-person, and Election Day) primarily based on the estimated composition of the state last voters. As soon as votes are counted, the survey outcomes are additionally weighted to match the general ends in every state. Outcomes amongst all greater than 4,400 New Jersey voters interviewed have an estimated margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.1 proportion factors, together with the design results. The error margin is bigger amongst subgroups.