Can Canada wait out the commerce battle with the US?

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<img sizes="(min-width: 1280px) 50vw, (min-width: 1008px) 66vw, 96vw" srcset="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/240/cpsprodpb/4cce/live/73591780-ca48-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 240w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/4cce/live/73591780-ca48-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 320w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/480/cpsprodpb/4cce/live/73591780-ca48-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 480w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/640/cpsprodpb/4cce/live/73591780-ca48-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 640w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/800/cpsprodpb/4cce/live/73591780-ca48-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 800w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1024/cpsprodpb/4cce/live/73591780-ca48-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 1024w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1536/cpsprodpb/4cce/live/73591780-ca48-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 1536w" src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/480/cpsprodpb/4cce/live/73591780-ca48-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp" loading="eager" alt="Getty Images President Donald Trump greets Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney during a world leaders' summit on ending the Gaza war on October 13, 2025 in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt. Prime Minister Mark Carney is on the left, wearing a black tie and a black suit. President Trump is on the right, wearing a dark blue suit and a red tie. PM Carney is gesturing as he speaks to Trump, who appears to be listening. Behind them is a white backdrop. " class="sc-5340b511-0 hLdNfA"/> Getty Photos Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney seems in no rush to renew commerce talks with the US.

He dismissed a query over the weekend about when he final spoke to US President Donald Trump, responding: "Who cares? It is a element. I am going to communicate to him once more when it issues."

Carney added that, in his view, there isn't a "burning challenge" to boost together with his US counterpart.

The prime minister has confronted criticism for his obvious lack of urgency, which raises the query about whether or not Canada is shifting its method to commerce talks with the US.

'Nice deal of posturing'

Nonetheless, Carney is travelling to Washington subsequent week for the Fifa World Cup draw, the place he and Trump may take the chance to satisfy, he advised reporters on Wednesday.

Canada is a number nation of the worldwide event subsequent yr, together with Mexico and the US.

Carney mentioned he and Trump have transient communications every now and then, together with texts on Tuesday.

However he mentioned he doesn't need individuals to dwell on "each little trade", and that what issues is the negotiations if and after they resume.

"That is a kind of negotiations the place there's an excessive amount of posturing on either side," mentioned Chris Sands, director of the Middle for Canadian Research at Johns Hopkins College.

"Trump would not need to seem like he wants a deal too badly. Carney would not need to look too determined both, and they also form of play one another out making an attempt to look nonchalant. However in fact, there's cash on the desk, and there is a lot to be negotiated."

Talks between the 2 nations stalled final month when Trump took offence at an anti-tariff commercial that includes former US President Ronald Reagan, which was commissioned by the province of Ontario and aired within the US.

Regardless of the pause, Canadian representatives are nonetheless advocating on the nation's behalf with US lawmakers on Capitol Hill, Richard Madan, the commerce consultant for the province of Manitoba, advised the BBC.

However Madan added that commerce talks haven't formally progressed past that.

<img sizes="(min-width: 1280px) 50vw, (min-width: 1008px) 66vw, 96vw" srcset="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/240/cpsprodpb/8adc/live/af018800-ca46-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 240w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/8adc/live/af018800-ca46-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 320w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/480/cpsprodpb/8adc/live/af018800-ca46-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 480w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/640/cpsprodpb/8adc/live/af018800-ca46-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 640w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/800/cpsprodpb/8adc/live/af018800-ca46-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 800w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1024/cpsprodpb/8adc/live/af018800-ca46-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 1024w,https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1536/cpsprodpb/8adc/live/af018800-ca46-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp 1536w" src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/480/cpsprodpb/8adc/live/af018800-ca46-11f0-86f6-7b854e603852.jpg.webp" loading="lazy" alt="Reuters Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, President of the United Arab Emirates, meets with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney at Al Shati Palace in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, November 20, 2025. The two are seated across from each other. Carney is wearing a black suit, while the Al Nahyan is wearing a traditional Emirati thobe and white gutra. Behind them are the UAE and Canadian flags. " class="sc-5340b511-0 hLdNfA"/> Reuters Carney has launched into a string of world journeys this month, together with to the United Arab Emirates, to push for international funding in Canada

Ontario's Reagan advert – wherein former President Ronald Reagan says tariffs "harm each American" – possible hit a nerve with Trump partially as a result of many Individuals report feeling financially squeezed, mentioned Mr Sands.

This discontent comes at a politically essential time for Trump forward of subsequent yr's US midterm elections.

Madan mentioned many Congress members are already in marketing campaign mode. "They're dealing with some political headwinds on affordability, and these tariffs aren't serving to," he mentioned.

A November Fox Information ballot prompt that 76% of US voters view the economic system negatively, up from 67% in July, and that many imagine Trump's financial insurance policies have harm them.

The president walked again tariffs on dozens of meals objects earlier this month, and has signalled an openness to decrease tariffs on imported metals from Canada and Mexico if some situations on shifting manufacturing to the US are met.

Earlier than the abrupt pause in talks, Trump and Carney have been discussing a potential deal on metals and vitality, which Canadian officers had hoped would ease the tariffs on Canada's metal and aluminium sectors.

The US has imposed a 35% levy on all Canadian items – although most are exempt underneath an current free commerce settlement. It has additionally slapped sector-specific levies on Canadian items, together with a 50% levy on metals and 25% on vehicles.

About three-quarters of Canada's exports are bought to the US, making its economic system significantly weak. Carney has famous, nevertheless, that as a result of duties exemption underneath the present free commerce deal, Canada is dealing with decrease tariffs than different nations.

Carney's focus has as an alternative been on his pledge to double Canada's non-US exports within the subsequent decade. The prime minister lately made a string of world journeys to pitch Canada abroad, together with to the United Arab Emirates and on the sidelines of the G20 in South Africa.

Tariff aid measures

Within the meantime, the Carney authorities has signalled it will likely be providing monetary aid to sectors impacted by US tariffs as they climate the commerce storm.

Aid could be welcome by Canada's aluminium producers, who've needed to take up preliminary tariff-related prices to satisfy their contractual obligations with US clients.

However Jean Simard, president and chief government of the Aluminium Affiliation of Canada, advised the BBC that Individuals are beginning to really feel squeezed as their stockpiles of the steel deplete. He famous that the US consumes much more aluminium than it produces, leaving it depending on imports.

"Time is on our facet and ache is on their facet," Mr Simard mentioned.

"We will keep the course, and we expect it's to the good thing about Canada to take its time and never rush right into a deal prematurely."

Nonetheless, Carney continues to be dealing with strain from others to succeed in a decision shortly.

Madan famous that US tariffs on heavy equipment have been felt deeply in Manitoba and that folks in that sector "are deeply involved".

The opposition Conservatives have criticised Carney's current feedback, saying he has "dismissed and derided 1000's of job losses as none of his concern".

They've additionally accused him of failing to barter and ship a "win" for Canada as promised on the marketing campaign path.

Carney on Tuesday conceded a "poor selection of phrases" in his weekend remarks about talks.

However with each the US midterm elections and a overview of a long-standing free commerce settlement between Canada, the US and Mexico on the horizon for 2026, some hope {that a} decision could be on the way in which.

Mr Sands famous that the Workplace of the USA Commerce Consultant will probably be holding public hearings in early December on the free commerce settlement, generally known as USMCA (or CUSMA in Canada).

He mentioned it's possible that each Canada and the US will hear from enterprise organisations who need to see free commerce proceed.

It may assist set the desk for Carney to say the "personal sector says they need a deal. What can we do?" mentioned Mr Sands.

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