CFP Quarterfinal Betting Report: Ole Miss-UGA Will Have Largest Impression at Books

[ad_1] There’s loads of intrigue round all 4 matchups on the Faculty Soccer Playoff quarterfinal oddsboard — however for bookmakers, one is turning into extra regarding than the others.

"The massive one which we’re actually circling and seeing one-way motion on is the Ole Miss-Georgia recreation. That’s the one which’s gonna have the most important influence," Caesars Sports activities head of soccer buying and selling Joey Feazel stated.

Bookmakers and sharp bettors supply their insights on CFP quarterfinal odds for every matchup.

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Geese a l’Orange

No. 5 Oregon is 12-1 straight up (SU) and 9-4 in opposition to the unfold (ATS). The Geese coasted via the primary spherical with a 51-34 win over No. 12 James Madison, although they didn’t cowl as hefty 21-point favorites.

No. 4 Texas Tech (12-1 SU/11-2 ATS), which obtained the ultimate CFP bye, is the No. 1 spread-covering staff within the nation. Nonetheless, on Dec. 20, Caesars opened Oregon as a 1-point Orange Bowl favourite.

And the road has gone up since, with stops at Oregon -1.5 and -2 on the way in which to -2.5 by Monday, for this midday ET New Yr’s Day kickoff.

"The sharper facet laid the 1, 1.5 and a pair of with Oregon. The expectation right here is that, though Texas Tech is nice, it’s simply not on the identical degree as Oregon," Feazel stated. "However there’s a good quantity of two-way motion.

"There’s just a little bit extra on Oregon, each on the unfold and the moneyline. However there have been a whole lot of Texas Tech and Oregon backers all through the season, and I anticipate that’ll be the case right here."

The whole is down some extent, from 52.5 to 51.5.

"There’s slight sharp motion on Below 52.5. Texas Tech has a really stingy protection," Feazel stated.

CFP Sharp Facet

Talking of sharp motion, faculty soccer betting skilled Paul Stone is amongst these whose curiosity is piqued by Oregon vs. Texas Tech.

Stone famous that, of the remaining groups, Oregon and Texas Tech are the one ones to rank within the high 10 nationally in scoring offense, complete offense, scoring protection and complete protection. He likes the quick underdog Pink Raiders to cowl +2.5 vs. the Geese.

"Texas Tech was at its finest in its three greatest video games this season," Stone stated. "The Pink Raiders went to Salt Lake Metropolis in late September and dominated Utah, then later did the identical to BYU on two events, throughout the common season and within the Large 12 Championship Recreation.

"The Pink Raiders received these contests by a mixed margin of 97-24, with all three victories by 22 factors or extra. I feel Texas Tech will take Oregon right down to the wire and probably get the outright victory."

Coming Up Roses

Indiana (13-0 SU/8-5 ATS) is arguably the story of the season, and even the previous two seasons. Lengthy one of many worst packages in faculty soccer, the Hoosiers are of their second straight Faculty Soccer Playoff.

And this time, they’re the No. 1 seed, heading right into a quarterfinal conflict vs. No. 9 Alabama within the Rose Bowl, which kicks off at 4 p.m. ET on Thursday.

Caesars Sports activities opened Indiana as a 6-point favourite, and the Hoosiers rapidly superior to -6.5/-7 on what Feazel termed sharp motion. Indiana stays -7 as of Wednesday afternoon.

Alabama (11-3 SU/8-5-1 ATS) is coming off a 34-24 first-round victory as a 1.5-point street underdog vs. Oklahoma.

Feazel stated motion on this matchup is much like Miami-Ohio State.

"There are a whole lot of backers right here on Alabama moneyline. It’s not day-after-day that you may get Alabama at +200," Feazel stated of consumers interested in a Crimson Tide outright upset. "Bettors are additionally laying Indiana -7 on the unfold.

"I assume our want might be that Tremendous Bowl center, Indiana to win, however Alabama to cowl."

SEC Sugar

The finale in Faculty Soccer Playoff quarterfinal odds encompasses a pair of SEC rivals, for an 8 p.m. ET Thursday conflict within the Sugar Bowl.

No. 3 Georgia (12-1 SU/6-7 ATS) obtained a first-round bye, whereas No. 6 Ole Miss (12-1 SU/8-5 ATS) stomped No. 11 Tulane 41-10, simply masking as a 17-point house favourite.

These two groups met within the common season. The Bulldogs overcame a 35-26 fourth-quarter deficit to win 43-35, narrowly masking as 7-point house favorites.

This time round, Caesars opened Georgia as a 6-point favourite and reached -7 a few instances. Over the previous couple of days, the road bounced between Georgia -6.5/-6, and it’s -6.5 on Wednesday afternoon.

"There’s just a little sharp motion on Ole Miss +7 and +6.5. However the public is throughout Georgia. It’s one-way visitors on the Bulldogs," Feazel stated, noting UGA motion is on extra than simply the sport itself. "All people is thinking about Georgia futures, much like final yr with Ohio State.

"In order that they’re betting Georgia on the unfold and moneyline on this recreation but additionally on Georgia to make the ultimate and on championship futures."

Plus, the general public betting lots will virtually assuredly end off their CFP moneyline parlays with Georgia, which may make Thursday evening’s choice huge for bookmakers far and broad.

"It’s a really comparable situation to what we see every week within the NFL, with parlays going to Sunday Night time Soccer," Feazel stated.

Cotton Sweet

Coming into Wednesday evening’s Cotton Bowl, No. 2 Ohio State was 12-1 SU, with its solely loss coming to No. 1 Indiana within the Large Ten title recreation. Simply as vital for our functions, the Buckeyes had been 10-2-1 ATS, the second-best spread-covering mark within the nation this season.

Ryan Day’s troops had been effectively rested, too, getting a bye into the New Yr’s Eve quarterfinal.

However No. 10 Miami (12-2 SU/9-5 ATS) pulled off the beautiful 24-14 upset as a 7.5-point underdog. The Hurricanes constructed a 14-0 first-half lead, weathered a Buckeyes second-half storm, then obtained a last-minute landing to salt away the victory.

That’s not what Caesars Sports activities was searching for, as Feazel famous in pregame feedback.

"It’s two-way motion. They’re taking Miami on the moneyline or laying Ohio State [on the spread]," Feazel stated. "The necessity right here is gonna be Ohio State to win and never cowl."

As an alternative, it is Miami going up first on the Faculty Soccer Playoff semifinal oddsboard. The Hurricanes meet the winner of the Sugar Bowl between Ole Miss and Georgia.

Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He's a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting area. He’s primarily based in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Observe him on X: @PatrickE_Vegas.

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