Gavin Newsom’s odds of changing into president in 2028

[ad_1] California Governor Gavin Newsom has a 23 % probability of profitable the following U.S. election in 2028, in keeping with Polymarket predictions.

It comes after Newsom stated in an interview on Sunday that he's contemplating working for president.

Newsweek has contacted Newsom’s workplace, by way of e-mail, for remark.

Why it Issues The 2028 U.S. presidential race is starting to take form with Newsom rising as a possible Democratic contender because the occasion seeks to outline its post-2024 route.

Newsom has grow to be one of the crucial seen Democratic counterweights to President Trump, usually clashing with him on points starting from federal army deployments to congressional redistricting. His nationwide profile has grown via energetic engagement in Democratic politics, together with visits to key major states.

What To Know Governor Gavin Newsom, a Democrat at the moment serving his final time period in California resulting from time period limits, informed CBS Information Sunday Morning that he "could be mendacity" if he stated he was not fascinated with working in 2028.

This marks a notable shift in Newsom’s public posture, following years of persistently denying presidential ambitions.

As of early Monday morning, Newsom’s probabilities of profitable have been 23 %, simply seven share factors behind Vice President JD Vance (30 %), Polymarket confirmed.

New York Consultant Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez got here third with 8 %, adopted by Trump with 4 %.

Newsom’s Polymarket probabilities have risen over the previous few months, from 14 % in July to 22 % in September.

The Democrat has been a vocal opponent of Trump and has repeatedly gone viral on social media together with his taunts of the president.

<img id="10943020" alt="" caption="California Gov. Gavin Newsom smiles after signing legislation related to student literacy in Los Angeles on Thursday, Oct. 9, 2025. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes)" credit="" sourcealt="" sources="["AP"]" fetchpriority="auto" loading="lazy" width="3936" height="2632" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" src="color:transparent;aspect-ratio:inherit;object-fit:cover" sizes="(min-width: 1200px) 1536px, (min-width: 768px) 768px, 100vw" srcset="https://assets.newsweek.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/AP25282659561400-1.jpg?w=640&quality=75&webp=1 640w, https://assets.newsweek.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/AP25282659561400-1.jpg?w=750&quality=75&webp=1 750w, https://assets.newsweek.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/AP25282659561400-1.jpg?w=1000&quality=75&webp=1 1000w, https://assets.newsweek.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/AP25282659561400-1.jpg?w=1200&quality=75&webp=1 1200w, https://assets.newsweek.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/AP25282659561400-1.jpg?w=1360&quality=75&webp=1 1360w, https://assets.newsweek.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/AP25282659561400-1.jpg?w=1600&quality=75&webp=1 1600w" bad-src="https://assets.newsweek.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/AP25282659561400-1.jpg?w=1600&quality=75&webp=1"/> What Individuals Are Saying Newsom informed CBS Information Sunday Morning: "Yeah, I’d be mendacity in any other case," when requested whether or not he'd contemplate a 2028 presidential marketing campaign. "I’m trying ahead to who presents themselves in 2028 and who meets that second … That’s the query for the American folks"

Thad Kousser, a professor of political science at UC San Diego informed the Los Angeles Occasions: "That is Gavin Newsom lastly saying out loud what everybody’s been whispering for years. He has apparent presidential ambitions and now he’s able to personal them."

What Occurs Subsequent Most 2028 presidential campaigns aren't anticipated to launch till after the November 2026 midterm elections.

Newsom’s fast political focus is the passage of Proposition 50, a California poll measure altering how congressional districts might be redrawn, an effort he says is vital to "our democracy" and countering President Trump’s agenda.