Nasdaq Desires Traders to Make Sure or No Bets on Its Index amid Occasion-Buying and selling Growth

[ad_1] Nasdaq has filed a request with the U.S. Securities and Trade Fee (SEC) to checklist binary choices tied to the Nasdaq‑100 index and its smaller micro model.

Nasdaq’s submitting follows Cboe’s comparable plans to supply prediction‑model derivatives. Each exchanges are responding to investor demand for simplified methods to invest on quick‑time period market actions. The transfer would enable merchants to make sure‑or‑no bets on the index’s course, increasing occasion‑model buying and selling into U.S. fairness markets.

Demand Grows for Occasion-Primarily based Buying and selling

Beneath the proposal, every contract could be priced between one cent and one greenback and pay a set quantity if the situation is met, expiring nugatory in any other case.

The construction resembles prediction‑market contracts used on crypto platforms corresponding to Polymarket and Kalshi, the place costs mirror the perceived odds of an occasion. Whereas prediction‑market platforms are regulated by the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee, Nasdaq’s binary choices could be topic to SEC oversight.

Learn extra: CFTC Flags Insider Dangers in Prediction Markets as Kalshi Sanctions Two Merchants

Crypto corporations are additionally advancing into the house. Coinbase has launched prediction markets for political and financial occasions, and Gemini obtained CFTC approval in December to function as a delegated contract market for occasion‑primarily based buying and selling.

Becoming a member of Cboe, Coinbase, and Gemini

Cboe International Markets can also be shifting into this house with its personal model of all‑or‑nothing, sure‑or‑no model contracts that carefully resemble prediction‑market bets on occasions. The trade is exploring a regulated choices product that provides mounted, all‑or‑none payouts, positioning it to compete with quick‑rising prediction platforms.

LATEST: ⚡ Cboe is creating binary choices with all-or-none payouts on yes-or-no occasion contracts to compete with prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, in keeping with the Wall Road Journal. pic.twitter.com/NKJPqpAVM6

— CoinMarketCap (@CoinMarketCap) February 2, 2026 Bloomberg has equally reported that Cboe plans to roll out choices that allow binary wagers on occasion outcomes as a part of a broader push into prediction markets, utilizing SEC‑regulated listed contracts reasonably than the frivolously supervised or offshore constructions frequent in crypto‑primarily based platforms.

The volumes within the prediction markets appears to be attracting the large gamers. Finance Magnates reported at first of the yr that, prediction markets hit a brand new report with $701.7 million traded in a single day.

Kalshi led the surge, producing $465.9 million in exercise, about two-thirds of the whole, whereas Polymarket and Opinion collectively contributed round $100 million. The milestone surpassed the day before today’s report of $666.6 million, with Kalshi maintaining a dominant market share.

The sturdy begin to 2026 builds on Kalshi’s explosive progress final yr, when the trade processed $23.8 billion in complete transactions, an enhance of greater than 1,100% from 2024.