NCAA Soccer Week 6 Betting Picks: Odds, Finest Bets For VAN-ALA, Miami-FSU

[ad_1] Each week this season, Newsweek Sports activities Betting Editor Tyler Everett is providing his ATS picks for the highest school soccer video games of the week.

Week 6 of the 2025 school soccer season has a troublesome act to comply with after the fireworks that Week 5 delivered.

Vanderbilt vs. Alabama in a rematch of final 12 months's memorable upset by the Commodores is likely one of the headliners on Saturday afternoon. Later, the top-20 battle between Miami and Florida State in primetime guarantees to be the most effective installments of that rivalry in a very long time.

Texas vs. Florida is among the many different under-the-radar video games that we're excited to see this weekend.

No. 9 Texas (-5.5) vs. Florida -- Saturday, 3:30 p.m. (ABC)No. 16 Vanderbilt vs. No. 10 Alabama (-12.5) -- Saturday, 3:30 p.m. (ESPN)No. 3 Miami (-4.5) vs. No. 18 Florida State -- Saturday, 7:30 p.m. (ABC) No. 9 Texas (-5.5) vs. Florida -- Saturday, 3:30 p.m. Picks: Florida +5.5 (greatest obtainable odds: -110 at FanDuel); Underneath 42.5 (-108 at DK)

At first look, taking a Gators workforce coming off three straight losses, adopted by a Week 5 bye, to hold with the No. 9 Longhorns sounds ludicrous, does not it?

However there are a few causes to love Florida to not less than hold Saturday's matchup with the preseason No. 1 workforce within the nation attention-grabbing.

If you happen to're tired of backing the Gators, the standard of each of those defenses -- to not point out how underwhelming Arch Manning and DJ Lagway have been thus far -- makes the Underneath one other nice wager on this matchup.

Per ESPN's SP+, Texas is the most effective defensive workforce within the nation, and Florida is No. 24.

Again to the case for Florida, although. Religion on this workforce has to begin with what it did late in 2024. After it was written off following a 4-5 begin, Florida beat LSU as a slight residence underdog to get to 5-5. Every week later, UF pulled off one of many largest upsets of the 12 months, beautiful then-No. 9 Ole Miss 24-17 as 13.5-point residence 'canines.

With that in thoughts, I will suppose twice earlier than ruling out an against-the-ropes Billy Napier squad. There's additionally cause to consider proficient Gators QB DJ Lagway is due for a step ahead. His season is off to a horrific begin that included a five-interception evening vs. LSU and a listless efficiency vs. Miami (12-for-23 passing for simply 61 yards, with 0 touchdowns and 4 sacks).

Lagway is but to resemble the participant who flashed late final 12 months, however in a do-or-die sport at residence, he is value maintaining a tally of on this one, even in opposition to the loaded Longhorns D.

Maybe the most important cause to love Florida to cowl, although, is what we have seen from preseason Heisman Trophy favourite Manning to date this 12 months. Struggling in opposition to Ohio State on the street in Week 1 was one factor, however Manning additionally performed poorly in opposition to UTEP in Week 3. His 11-for-25 day passing for 114 yards in that one set off a ton of purple flags.

Manning did put up large numbers vs. San Jose State and Sam Houston two of the final three weeks, however he is but to come back wherever near residing as much as the large hype in opposition to a top quality protection.

For me, the whole lot is including as much as this being a rock battle, making it laborious to withstand taking Florida to cowl as the house 'canine.

No. 16 Vanderbilt vs. No. 10 Alabama (-12.5) -- Saturday, 3:30 p.m. Decide: Vanderbilt +12.5 (greatest obtainable odds: -110 at FanDuel)

Neglect the narrative about whether or not "David" can shock "Goliath" for the second time in as a few years.

Regardless of this program's historical past, QB Diego Pavia and this Commodores are hardly some also-ran hoping for an additional miracle on Saturday evening. Simply ask Virginia Tech, South Carolina and Utah State (every of these groups misplaced to Vandy by not less than 20 factors this season).

Vandy is stable on each side of the ball, thanks largely to the most effective, most balanced working video games within the nation. Pavia is one in all three Commodores averaging not less than 5.3 yards per keep it up 20-plus carries to date this 12 months, and 4 gamers have not less than 10 receptions, together with preseason first-team All-SEC tight finish Eli Stowers.

This Commodores offense faces a troublesome activity in opposition to a Bama D that entered the season with lofty expectations and seemed the half final Saturday evening in Athens. The Tide held Georgia to simply 21 factors in that contest after limiting the Dawgs to simply 2-of-8 on third-down. Bama did, nonetheless, permit Georgia to choose up 6.9 yards per keep it up 33 dashing makes an attempt, together with 4 runs of 20-plus yards.

This additionally looks as if a great place to say that again in Week 1, Alabama struggled to cease Florida State's working sport. The Noles rushed for 230 yards on 49 carries in that contest, together with 16 dashing makes an attempt for 78 yards by Tommy Castellanos.

All that being stated, given how effectively Crimson Tide QB Ty Simpson performed final week, I would not hesitate to take Alabama to cowl at -6.5 on this revenge sport. In actual fact, I might most likely play Bama as much as -9.5 at residence.

The present 12.5-point unfold, nonetheless, is extreme, particularly in opposition to a Vandy workforce with a transparent energy that ought to -- not less than on paper -- create some severe issues for the Alabama protection.

No. 3 Miami (-4.5) vs. No. 18 Florida State -- Saturday, 7:30 p.m. Decide: Miami -4 (greatest obtainable odds: -110 at bet365)

Let's begin by noting that the Canes are listed as 4.5-point favorites at FanDuel and DraftKings. To me, they're particularly tempting so long as they're obtainable at -4 at bet365.

Miami has gotten off to plenty of sizzling begins lately, solely to soften down late within the season (together with final 12 months). I am satisfied this 12 months's squad is completely different, although.

The Canes are wonderful on each strains of scrimmage, they usually've already bodily dominated three stable groups: Notre Dame within the season opener, South Florida in Week 3 and Florida* in Week 4.

Mario Cristobal's squad additionally has the advantage of coming off a bye, whereas Florida State misplaced at Virginia in time beyond regulation final Friday evening. The Noles offense has been spectacular underneath OC Gus Malzahn, together with in Week 1 in opposition to a Bama squad that beat Georgia on the street final week.

This Saturday, although, I do not see FSU having a lot success on the bottom in opposition to star DE Rueben Bain and the stout Miami entrance seven. Keep in mind, the Canes have already bottled up Notre Dame in Week 1 (28 carries for simply 93 yards), South Florida in Week 3 (27 carries for 40 yards) and Florida in Week 4 (29 carries for 80 yards).

These performances make it laborious to think about Florida State getting its working sport going on this contest. If FSU QB Tommy Castellanos has to win this sport along with his arm, I do not see the Noles preserving this sport shut for 60 minutes.

On the opposite aspect of the ball, the Florida State D seemed wonderful in Week 1 in opposition to Bama, but it surely struggled to get off the sphere vs. Virginia final week, even on an evening when it got here up with three interceptions. The Noles surrendered 27 first downs and a quarter mile of offense vs. UVA -- together with 200-plus each on the bottom and thru the air -- in that double-overtime loss as 7.5-point street favorites.

*Regardless of the Gators' 1-3 report, Miami's 26-7 win over Florida was one more early-season assertion by the Canes.

Newsweek could earn an affiliate fee if you happen to join by means of any hyperlinks on this article. See the sportsbook operator's phrases and situations for necessary particulars. Sports activities betting operators don't have any affect over newsroom protection.

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NCAA Soccer Week 6 Betting Picks: Odds, Finest Bets For VAN-ALA, Miami-FSU

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