NFL, CFB Weekend Betting Recap: ‘It Was a Small Dropping Day’ Total for Books

[ad_1] Usually, when plenty of NFL favorites win on Sunday, bookmakers get taken to the cleaners.

But on Sunday, when favorites received 11 of 12 video games, that wasn’t the case.

It’s not that sportsbooks received the battle of NFL Week 6 odds, however they didn’t lose practically as a lot as regular below such circumstances.

"It’s good to have virtually all of the favorites win and us not get killed," mentioned Casey Degnon, threat supervisor at The SuperBook. "It was a small shedding day for the ebook, total."

Extra on the weekend that was, as oddsmakers at sportsbooks throughout the nation recap NFL and school soccer betting.

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Sunday Evening Showdown

The NFL saved the very best for final on Sunday, with the Detroit Lions visiting the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs in prime time. Detroit entered the sport at 4-1 straight up (SU) and towards the unfold (ATS), whereas Ok.C. was 2-3 SU and ATS, attempting to dodge a 2-4 begin.

Additional, Detroit has been a spread-covering machine because the center of the 2022-23 season, going 39-13-1 ATS and a fair higher 41-12 SU.

However the Chiefs have been as much as the chore, posting a 30-17 victory as 2.5-point residence favorites. That was a mixed-bag end result for The SuperBook.

"The Chiefs protecting and the Beneath was a really small loser for us," Degnon mentioned, alluding to the 2 groups falling nicely in need of the 51.5 whole. "However the Chiefs, by double digits, no less than killed the Lions teasers for us."

For these unfamiliar, teasers are considerably like parlays, besides the bettor both subtracts factors from the favourite’s level unfold or provides factors to an underdog’s level unfold.

Six-point teasers are typical, and any that have been reside to the Lions on Sunday night time would’ve had Detroit +8.5, somewhat than +2.5. So Ok.C. profitable by greater than 8.5 fell in The SuperBook’s favor.

Nationally, BetMGM buying and selling supervisor Christian Cipollini was rooting for a a lot nearer end result.

"We’re hoping for a Chiefs win by one or two," Cipollini mentioned pregame, wanting a Ok.C. win however a Detroit cowl.

That’s as a result of most BetMGM prospects have been both wagering on Chiefs -2.5 or Lions moneyline. A 1- or 2-point Ok.C. win would’ve meant the sportsbook scooped up all of the Chiefs unfold bets plus all of the Lions moneyline wagers.

London Calling

Bookmakers had no complaints about Sunday’s opening sport, the Denver Broncos vs. the New York Jets in London. The Broncos have been 7-point favorites and did nearly the whole lot they may to lose to the winless Jets.

Denver escaped with a really ugly 13-11 victory. So the underdog lined and the Beneath simply hit on a complete of 43.5. The cliché states that parlays are a bookmaker’s greatest good friend. Not far behind is the ‘canine and Beneath.

"This began the day with a win for the ebook, provided that it was the Jets hanging on [to cover] in a low-scoring sport," Caesars Sports activities head of soccer buying and selling Joey Feazel mentioned.

However very similar to at The SuperBook, Caesars had a back-and-forth duel with bettors for the remainder of the day, profitable some and shedding some. The day went a little bit higher for South Level sportsbook director Chris Andrews.

"We began off good with the Broncos-Jets. The Cardinals protecting towards the Colts was good, and the Rams protecting was good. All people wager on the Ravens late," Andrews mentioned of L.A.’s 17-3 victory as 7-point highway favorites.

"However all people wager Carolina over the Cowboys, they usually took the factors with the Dolphins. So these weren’t good."

The Panthers have been 3-point residence underdogs and beat Dallas 30-27. Miami rallied from a 26-13 deficit to take a 27-26 lead within the remaining minute towards the Los Angeles Chargers. The Dolphins proceeded to lose 29-27 on a final-second discipline aim however lined as 3.5-point residence underdogs.

Massive-Sport Bucs

In case you’d requested six weeks in the past which crew would have the NFL’s greatest report by mid-October, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers wouldn’t have been your first guess.

However right here, Tampa is at 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS, tied with one other shock crew within the Colts, additionally 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS. Semi-on matter: The Buffalo Payments (4-1 SU/2-3 ATS) can get to 5-1 SU on Monday night time in Atlanta.

Baker Mayfield & Co. hosted the San Francisco 49ers in one of many higher Sunday matchups. The Bucs have been 3.5-point residence favorites and received 30-19. Sharp bettors don’t at all times get it proper, however they did on this case, betting on Tampa at -2.5 and -3 earlier within the week.

"Lots of sharp guys [were] on Tampa," SuperBook vp John Murray mentioned.

Too A lot To Swallow

A lot as the general public likes to wager on favorites, there's a breaking level. The Inexperienced Bay Packers laying 14 factors, even on their residence discipline, was simply an excessive amount of to ask.

However a Cincinnati Bengals crew getting these 14 factors? Maybe revitalized a bit after buying Joe Flacco to take over as quarterback? Certain, why not.

BetMGM and The SuperBook each reported stronger-than-expected motion on Bengals +14.

"We now have seen that. It’s shocking to me," Murray mentioned. "However the public doesn’t wish to lay 14 factors."

And the general public was proper to as a substitute take 14 factors. Inexperienced Bay was by no means protecting, although it did lead 24-10 halfway by means of the fourth quarter. However that’s a push.

Flacco led the Bengals to a landing with 4:11 remaining to make it 24-18, maybe giving the Packers a little bit concern. Inexperienced Bay in the end received 27-18, and the Bengals lined the unfold.

On Campus

When underdogs publish outright wins in high-profile video games, oddsmakers are usually blissful. Such was the case with Indiana’s 30-20 highway upset of Oregon on Saturday.

"It was an ideal week for the ebook. Indiana beating Oregon outright was one in every of our greatest outcomes of the yr," BetMGM buying and selling supervisor Seamus Magee mentioned.

Sharp bettors have been on the seventh-ranked Hoosiers, who opened as excessive as 9.5-point underdogs however closed +7. The general public betting plenty have been on the No. 3 Geese, together with in moneyline parlays.

So Indiana outright broke up a boatload of mentioned parlay tickets.

A pair extra upsets helped gas a profitable Saturday for BetMGM.

"Pitt outright over Florida State and UCLA beating Michigan State have been different nice video games," Magee mentioned.

The Seminoles have been 10.5-point residence favorites however tumbled to the Panthers 34-31. The Bruins have been 7-point highway underdogs and blew out the Spartans 38-13.

It was the second straight upset for UCLA, which in Week 6 was a large 24.5-point residence underdog and shocked Penn State 42-37.

These upsets all came about within the midday ET or 3:30 p.m. ET window of video games. So, too, did Penn State’s second straight gorgeous setback, a 22-21 residence loss as 21-point favorites vs. Northwestern.

"Lots of parlays died earlier than the night time slate even obtained going," Magee mentioned.

And on Sunday, one job was misplaced, as nicely.

Penn State fired coach James Franklin, following two embarrassing losses as a part of a three-game skid total. FWIW: The Nittany Lions (3-3 SU) are the one school crew that’s winless towards the unfold this season, at 0-6.

Alabama-Missouri was one other in style sport, with the Crimson Tide closing as 3.5-point highway favorites. Through the week, the purpose unfold toggled between Bama -3.5/-3. When that occurs, it’s typically dangerous for the bookmakers when the favourite wins by precisely 3, which Alabama did, 27-24.

However BetMGM once more got here out in entrance.

"Alabama touchdown on 3 ended up OK for us. There was plenty of curiosity in ‘Bama -3.5," Magee mentioned.

Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He's a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting house. He’s primarily based in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Comply with him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.

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