Within the early hours of 13 June, greater than 200 Israeli fighter jets started pummeling Iran with bombs, lighting up the Tehran skyline and initiating a 12-day conflict that would depart tons of useless.
However for one consumer of the prediction market Polymarket, it was their fortunate day. Within the 24 hours earlier than the strike occurred, they’d wager tens of 1000’s of {dollars} on “sure” in the marketplace “Israel navy motion in opposition to Iran by Friday?” when the prospect nonetheless appeared unlikely and odds had been hovering at about 10%. After the strike, Polymarket declared that navy motion had been taken, and paid the consumer $128,000 for his or her fortunate wager.
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