The 12 months 2026 may very well be the primary in my life which holds the non-trivial likelihood of a broader conflict in Europe: and the dangers have simply elevated. Donald Trump’s incursion into Venezuela, and the arrest of Nicolás Maduro, is the clearest proof but that geopolitics has reverted to the Chilly Warfare doctrine of spheres of affect. For the US, their precedence is the Western Hemisphere. China’s sphere extends to Taiwan, and Russia’s to Ukraine and different components of the previous Soviet Union. With America’s consideration elsewhere, and Putin emboldened, the possibilities are rising that this conflict will proceed.
In the course of the Chilly Warfare of my youth, there was at all times potential for unintentional battle. However America and the Soviet Union had been each run by individuals who had been working laborious to stop that from taking place. Even within the tensest of crises, diplomacy prevailed.
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