With Khamenei lifeless, how will the Islamic Republic select Iran’s subsequent supreme chief?

[ad_1] The demise of Supreme Chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei after virtually 37 years in energy raises essential questions on Iran's future.

The contours of a posh succession course of started to take form the morning after Khamenei's killing in an air strike marketing campaign by the US and Israel.

Learn extra Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s hardline supreme chief, is lifeless at 86

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As outlined in its structure, Iran on Sunday fashioned a council to imagine management duties and govern the nation.

The council is made up of Iran’s sitting president, the top of the nation’s judiciary and a member of the Guardian Council chosen by Iran’s Expediency Council, which advises the supreme chief and settles disputes with parliament.

Iran’s reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian and hardline judiciary chief Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei are its members who will step in and “quickly assume all of the duties of management”.

Although the management council will govern within the interim, an 88-member panel referred to as the Meeting of Specialists “should, as quickly as potential” decide a brand new supreme chief beneath Iranian legislation.

The panel consists solely of Shiite clerics who're popularly elected each eight years and whose candidacies are accepted by the Guardian Council, Iran’s constitutional watchdog.

That physique is thought for disqualifying candidates in varied elections in Iran and the Meeting of Specialists isn't any completely different. The Guardian Council barred former Iranian president Hassan Rouhani, a relative average whose administration struck the 2015 nuclear take care of world powers, from election for the Meeting of Specialists in March 2024.

Khamenei killed: Trump talks regime change in Iran after strikes

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© France 24 Ellie Geranmayeh, senior coverage fellow and deputy head of the Center East and North Africa programme on the European Council on International Relations, advised FRANCE 24 that she doubted the succession was going to be a shock.

"The system realized in June that there was very a lot a goal on Khamenei's again, and that that they had put in place a number of completely different modes of choices for succession relying in what context his demise arose," she stated.

"What I feel can be fairly important in these discussions when it comes to the kind of determine and beliefs that comes with the subsequent supreme chief – if certainly it is really a figurehead relatively than a physique that replaces the deceased supreme chief – goes to be whether or not there's any off-ramp politically that's realistically provided by the US or not."

She stated that the danger that Iran might see the rise of a extra hardline determine ready to solid apart Iran's long-running technique of "strategic endurance" relying largely on simply how far the assault on the Islamic Republic would go.

"In a case the place the US and Israel are laser-focused on full regime collapse, you'll get a way more confrontational system developing than what we've probably seen from relatively a timid and calculated Islamic Republic of Iran."

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Behind closed doorways Clerical deliberations about succession and machinations over it happen removed from the general public eye, making it arduous to gauge who could also be a high contender.

Beforehand, it was thought that Khamenei's protégé, hardline president Ebrahim Raisi, could attempt to take the mantle. Nonetheless, he was killed in a Might 2024 helicopter crash.

That has left one in every of Khamenei's sons, Mojtaba, a 56-year-old Shiite cleric, as a possible candidate, although he has by no means held authorities workplace.

However a father-to-son switch within the case of a supreme chief might spark anger, not solely amongst Iranians already important of clerical rule, but additionally amongst supporters of the system. Some may even see it as un-Islamic and according to creating a brand new, non secular dynasty after the 1979 collapse of the US-backed Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi's authorities.

There was just one different switch of energy within the workplace of supreme chief of Iran, the paramount decision-maker because the nation's 1979 Islamic Revolution.

In 1989, Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini died at age 86 after being the figurehead of the revolution and main Iran by way of its eight-year battle with Iraq. This transition now comes after Israel launched a 12-day battle towards Iran in June 2025 as properly.

The supreme chief is on the coronary heart of Iran’s complicated power-sharing Shiite theocracy and has ultimate say over all issues of state.

He additionally serves because the commander-in-chief of the nation's army and the highly effective Revolutionary Guard, a paramilitary power that the US designated a terrorist organisation in 2019, and which Khamenei empowered throughout his rule.

The Guard, which has led the self-described “Axis of Resistance”, a sequence of militant teams and allies throughout the Center East meant to counter the US and Israel, additionally has intensive wealth and holdings in Iran.

(FRANCE 24 with AP)

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With Khamenei lifeless, how will the Islamic Republic select Iran’s subsequent supreme chief?

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